GFL Environmental Inc. GFL.TO

Industrials · Waste Management · valued as of 2026-11-03 · statements 2025-12-31

Average Intrinsic Value
-$81.55M
Market Cap
$15.44B
Margin of Safety
—
Intrinsic / Market Ratio
-0.00530

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

EPV + Growth

-5.85B USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

5.31B USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

295.63M USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Intrinsic Value

-81.55M USD

the plain average of the three, uncapped, as the screener averages them

Intrinsic Value

-81.55M USD

from the sum above

Market Cap

15.44B USD

today's price times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

-0.00530×

the ratio the screener ranks by; Margin of Safety — (1 − Market Cap ÷ Intrinsic Value)

Each card below builds one of the three values from the reported years.

Earnings power value plus growth: -5.85B USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)1.16B USD
−②Net Debt Today7.01B USD
+③Growth Value0 USD
=Value-5.85B USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

1.16B USD

Net debt today

-7.01B USD

Growth Value

0 USD

Value

-5.85B USD

①EPV (earnings power value)

1.16B USD

②Net Debt Today

7.01B USD

③Growth Value

0 USD

Market value

Market Cap15.44B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety—

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 5.31B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.

The projection was not made (a profit at or below zero in the latest three years), so the value is the book value today, 5.31B USD, as the screener leaves it.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

Not in the value

②Equity at Year 15, Today

Not in the value

Market value

Market Cap15.44B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-190.5%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 295.63M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF2.69B USD
+②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today4.61B USD
−③Net Debt Today7.01B USD
=Value295.63M USD
FCFF: the NOPAT left for the shareholders and the lenders once the business reinvests what next year's growth needsReinvestment: the part of the year's NOPAT put back into the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releasesPresent value of the FCFFColoured bars show the FCFF, grey bars the reinvestment. With a positive reinvestment the two stacked are the year's NOPAT; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the NOPAT is the FCFF plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth rising to its long-run rate and the ROIC on new investment rising to the WACC. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

2.69B USD

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

4.61B USD

③Net Debt Today

7.01B USD

Market value

Market Cap15.44B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-5121.4%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 6.20%
weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 0.49×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 7.45%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC 25.00% (default): the statements print a tax provision of -10.38M USD on a pretax income of 165.85M USD, which gives no rate between 0 and the profit before tax, so the 25% default stands for the tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 499.30M USD−Pretax Income 165.85M USD= 333.45M USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 333.45M USDTotal Debt 7.15B USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 25.00%)= 3.50%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 7.15B USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 15.44B USD + 7.15B USD= 31.64%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 68.36%×Cost of Equity 7.45%+Debt Weight 31.64%×Cost of Debt 3.50%= 6.20%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2026-06-30.

Total Assets 15.17B USD − Total Liabilities 9.85B USD = Book Value Today 5.31B USD

Total Debt 7.15B USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 135.33M USD = Net Debt Today 7.01B USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 1-2.8%at most 5%passes360,890,326 / 371,162,868
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets-12.1%at least -10.0%does not pass(961.92M USD − 2.80B USD) ÷ 15.17B USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today2.91×at most 3×passes15.44B USD ÷ 5.31B USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue5.2%above 10.0%does not pass252.91M USD ÷ 4.84B USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 112.9%above 10.0%passes4.84B USD / 4.28B USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap-45.4%above -30%does not pass(135.33M USD − 7.15B USD) ÷ 15.44B USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit25.3%above 25.0%passes252.91M USD ÷ 999.41M USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Market data
The data provider's own ratios and the analysts' consensus, read beside the valuation, never in it.

Share price

60 USD

Enterprise value

30.93B USD

market cap plus net debt

EV / EBITDA

18.45×

Price / book

2.93×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

—

Return on equity

-2.3%

the provider's, not the engine's

Profit margin

-2.9%

Revenue growth

16.3%

Analyst target, mean

73 USD

Analysts

12

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow the screener holds, year by year, in USD.

Financial statements, year by year
The annual lines the screener holds today, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.
USD2022202320242025
Income statement

Revenue

4.99B5.69B4.28B4.84B

Gross profit

589.14M960.47M787.42M999.41M

Operating income

29.47M197.56M155.42M252.91M

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

1.18B1.68B702.80M1.46B

Pretax income

-265.39M145.35M-784.00M165.85M

Net income

-230.31M34.35M-504.13M2.80B

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

-164.60M-296.50M-176.93M47.63M

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

14.60B15.04B14.79B14.10B

Total liabilities

10.14B9.45B9.76B8.63B

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

4.46B5.43B4.87B5.34B

Total debt

7.15B7.03B7.36B5.80B

Cash and equivalents

60.64M102.68M93.33M62.57M

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

4.83B5.28B5.48B5.35B

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

-966.87M-246.21M-1.02B-609.38M
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

809.77M741.81M1.07B961.92M

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-565.20M-798.33M-832.20M-834.29M

Depreciation and amortisation

1.13B1.13B1.09B961.99M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

244.56M-56.52M242.20M127.62M