Wingstop Inc. WING

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · valued as of 2026-11-02 · statements 2025-12-31

Average Intrinsic Value
-$79.55M
Market Cap
$3.30B
Margin of Safety
—
Intrinsic / Market Ratio
-0.02

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

EPV + Growth

116.59M USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

-773.76M USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

418.52M USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Intrinsic Value

-79.55M USD

the plain average of the three, uncapped, as the screener averages them

Intrinsic Value

-79.55M USD

from the sum above

Market Cap

3.30B USD

today's price times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

-0.02×

the ratio the screener ranks by; Margin of Safety — (1 − Market Cap ÷ Intrinsic Value)

Each card below builds one of the three values from the reported years.

Earnings power value plus growth: 116.59M USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)1.16B USD
−②Net Debt Today1.15B USD
+③Growth Value106.80M USD
=Value116.59M USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

1.16B USD

Net debt today

-1.15B USD

Growth Value

+106.80M USD

Value

116.59M USD

①EPV (earnings power value)

1.16B USD

②Net Debt Today

1.15B USD

③Growth Value

106.80M USD

Market value

Market Cap3.30B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-2727.1%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): -773.76M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.

The projection was not made (no book value at the start of the latest year), so the value is the book value today, -773.76M USD, as the screener leaves it.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

Not in the value

②Equity at Year 15, Today

Not in the value

Market value

Market Cap3.30B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety—

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 418.52M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF1.35B USD
+②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today211.53M USD
−③Net Debt Today1.15B USD
=Value418.52M USD
FCFF: the NOPAT left for the shareholders and the lenders once the business reinvests what next year's growth needsReinvestment: the part of the year's NOPAT put back into the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releasesPresent value of the FCFFColoured bars show the FCFF, grey bars the reinvestment. With a positive reinvestment the two stacked are the year's NOPAT; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the NOPAT is the FCFF plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth falling to its long-run rate and the ROIC on new investment falling to the WACC. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

1.35B USD

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

211.53M USD

③Net Debt Today

1.15B USD

Market value

Market Cap3.30B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-687.6%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 11.64%
weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 1.81×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 15.34%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC =Tax Provision 62.98M USDPretax Income 237.43M USD= 26.53%

The tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 273.25M USD−Pretax Income 237.43M USD= 35.82M USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 35.82M USDTotal Debt 1.27B USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 26.53%)= 2.07%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 1.27B USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 3.30B USD + 1.27B USD= 27.87%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 72.13%×Cost of Equity 15.34%+Debt Weight 27.87%×Cost of Debt 2.07%= 11.64%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2026-06-30.

Total Assets 658.65M USD − Total Liabilities 1.43B USD = Book Value Today -773.76M USD

Total Debt 1.27B USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 127.58M USD = Net Debt Today 1.15B USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 1-7.1%at most 5%passes27,240,351 / 29,337,920
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets-3.2%at least -10.0%passes(153.22M USD − 174.44M USD) ÷ 658.65M USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today—at most 3×not measured3.30B USD ÷ -773.76M USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue26.7%above 10.0%passes186.01M USD ÷ 697.55M USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 111.4%above 10.0%passes697.55M USD / 626.43M USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap-34.8%above -30%does not pass(127.58M USD − 1.27B USD) ÷ 3.30B USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit54.8%above 25.0%passes186.01M USD ÷ 339.59M USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Market data
The data provider's own ratios and the analysts' consensus, read beside the valuation, never in it.

Share price

121 USD

Enterprise value

4.44B USD

market cap plus net debt

EV / EBITDA

18.96×

Price / book

-4.26×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

28.64×

Return on equity

—

the provider's, not the engine's

Profit margin

16.2%

Revenue growth

6.4%

Analyst target, mean

190 USD

Analysts

26

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow the screener holds, year by year, in USD.

Financial statements, year by year
The annual lines the screener holds today, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.
USD2022202320242025
Income statement

Revenue

357.88M460.52M626.43M697.55M

Gross profit

171.23M223.05M301.17M339.59M

Operating income

93.19M112.80M164.74M186.01M

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

101.55M125.90M188.16M298.34M

Pretax income

69.39M94.40M147.34M237.43M

Net income

53.00M70.25M108.83M174.44M

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

54.51M70.36M105.94M110.35M

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

424.61M378.20M716.96M694.10M

Total liabilities

815.87M836.03M1.39B1.43B

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

-391.25M-457.82M-676.26M-737.50M

Total debt

717.15M733.25M1.27B1.27B

Cash and equivalents

184.68M90.31M316.23M196.77M

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

66.92M110.49M175.17M179.40M

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

164.42M73.41M308.48M185.71M
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

76.31M121.72M157.77M153.22M

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-23.96M-40.87M-51.98M-47.49M

Depreciation and amortisation

10.91M13.25M19.51M25.09M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

52.35M80.85M105.79M105.73M