Valvoline Inc. VVV

Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships · valued as of 2026-11-02 · statements 2025-09-30

Average Intrinsic Value
$1.20B
Market Cap
$4.14B
Margin of Safety
-246.1%
Intrinsic / Market Ratio
0.29

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

EPV + Growth

1.41B USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

417.12M USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

1.77B USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Intrinsic Value

1.20B USD

the plain average of the three, uncapped, as the screener averages them

Intrinsic Value

1.20B USD

from the sum above

Market Cap

4.14B USD

today's price times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

0.29×

the ratio the screener ranks by; Margin of Safety -246.1% (1 − Market Cap ÷ Intrinsic Value)

Each card below builds one of the three values from the reported years.

Earnings power value plus growth: 1.41B USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)3.31B USD
−②Net Debt Today1.90B USD
+③Growth Value0 USD
=Value1.41B USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

3.31B USD

Net debt today

-1.90B USD

Growth Value

0 USD

Value

1.41B USD

①EPV (earnings power value)

3.31B USD

②Net Debt Today

1.90B USD

③Growth Value

0 USD

Market value

Market Cap4.14B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-194.1%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 417.12M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.

The projection was not made (a growth path at or below minus 100%), so the value is the book value today, 417.12M USD, as the screener leaves it.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

Not in the value

②Equity at Year 15, Today

Not in the value

Market value

Market Cap4.14B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-893.4%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 1.77B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF2.33B USD
+②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today1.33B USD
−③Net Debt Today1.90B USD
=Value1.77B USD
FCFF: the NOPAT left for the shareholders and the lenders once the business reinvests what next year's growth needsReinvestment: the part of the year's NOPAT put back into the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releasesPresent value of the FCFFColoured bars show the FCFF, grey bars the reinvestment. With a positive reinvestment the two stacked are the year's NOPAT; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the NOPAT is the FCFF plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth falling to its long-run rate and the ROIC on new investment falling to the WACC. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

2.33B USD

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

1.33B USD

③Net Debt Today

1.90B USD

Market value

Market Cap4.14B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-134.7%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 8.45%
weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 1.04×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 10.73%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC =Tax Provision 77.58M USDPretax Income 292.59M USD= 26.51%

The tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 391.69M USD−Pretax Income 292.59M USD= 99.10M USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 99.10M USDTotal Debt 1.98B USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 26.51%)= 3.68%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 1.98B USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 4.14B USD + 1.98B USD= 32.35%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 67.65%×Cost of Equity 10.73%+Debt Weight 32.35%×Cost of Debt 3.68%= 8.45%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2026-06-30.

Total Assets 3.49B USD − Total Liabilities 3.07B USD = Book Value Today 417.12M USD

Total Debt 1.98B USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 84.28M USD = Net Debt Today 1.90B USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 1-5.3%at most 5%passes127,600,000 / 134,800,000
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets2.5%at least -10.0%passes(297.50M USD − 210.91M USD) ÷ 3.49B USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today9.93×at most 3×does not pass4.14B USD ÷ 417.12M USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue22.9%above 10.0%passes391.69M USD ÷ 1.71B USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 15.6%above 10.0%does not pass1.71B USD / 1.62B USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap-45.8%above -30%does not pass(84.28M USD − 1.98B USD) ÷ 4.14B USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit59.4%above 25.0%passes391.69M USD ÷ 659.16M USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Market data
The data provider's own ratios and the analysts' consensus, read beside the valuation, never in it.

Share price

32 USD

Enterprise value

6.04B USD

market cap plus net debt

EV / EBITDA

12.54×

Price / book

9.93×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

40.05×

Return on equity

28.4%

the provider's, not the engine's

Profit margin

5.2%

Revenue growth

24.1%

Analyst target, mean

43 USD

Analysts

16

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow the screener holds, year by year, in USD.

Financial statements, year by year
The annual lines the screener holds today, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.
USD2022202320242025
Income statement

Revenue

1.24B1.44B1.62B1.71B

Gross profit

476.88M545.04M619.42M659.16M

Operating income

241.04M280.28M366.87M391.69M

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

312.51M369.17M472.87M511.21M

Pretax income

144.24M236.74M283.88M292.59M

Net income

424.72M1.42B211.71M210.91M

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

125.08M227.28M214.18M216.04M

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

3.42B2.89B2.44B2.67B

Total liabilities

3.11B2.69B2.26B2.33B

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

306.91M203.40M185.79M338.84M

Total debt

1.92B1.84B1.37B1.39B

Cash and equivalents

23.42M409.51M68.37M51.65M

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

917.62M1.09B1.26B1.47B

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

702.40M574.97M-98.60M-103.80M
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

284.48M-40.84M265.37M297.50M

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-132.13M-180.68M-224.62M-259.46M

Depreciation and amortisation

71.47M88.89M106.01M119.52M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

152.35M-221.52M40.74M38.04M