Vistra Corp. VST

Utilities · Utilities - Independent Power Producers · valued as of 2026-11-03 · statements 2025-12-31

Average Intrinsic Value
$3.33B
Market Cap
$46.95B
Margin of Safety
-1307.9%
Intrinsic / Market Ratio
0.07

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

EPV + Growth

-3.71B USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

8.21B USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

5.50B USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Intrinsic Value

3.33B USD

the plain average of the three, uncapped, as the screener averages them

Intrinsic Value

3.33B USD

from the sum above

Market Cap

46.95B USD

today's price times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

0.07×

the ratio the screener ranks by; Margin of Safety -1307.9% (1 − Market Cap ÷ Intrinsic Value)

Each card below builds one of the three values from the reported years.

Earnings power value plus growth: -3.71B USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)15.77B USD
−②Net Debt Today19.48B USD
+③Growth Value0 USD
=Value-3.71B USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

15.77B USD

Net debt today

-19.48B USD

Growth Value

0 USD

Value

-3.71B USD

①EPV (earnings power value)

15.77B USD

②Net Debt Today

19.48B USD

③Growth Value

0 USD

Market value

Market Cap46.95B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety—

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 8.21B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE7.03B USD
+②Equity at Year 15, Today1.18B USD
=Value8.21B USD
FCFE: the net income left for the shareholders once the business keeps what next year's growth needsEquity reinvestment: the part of the year's net income kept in the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releases to the shareholdersPresent value of the FCFEColoured bars show the FCFE, grey bars the equity reinvestment. With a positive equity reinvestment the two stacked are the year's normalized income; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the normalized income is the FCFE plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth rising to its long-run rate and the ROE on new investment falling to the cost of equity. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

7.03B USD

②Equity at Year 15, Today

1.18B USD

Market value

Market Cap46.95B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-471.7%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 5.50B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).

The projection was not made (a change in working capital above half the operating profit in the latest three years), so the value is the book value today, 5.50B USD, as the screener leaves it.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

Not in the value

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

Not in the value

③Net Debt Today

Not in the value

Market value

Market Cap46.95B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-753.7%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 10.35%
weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 1.41×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 12.98%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC =Tax Provision 179.18M USDPretax Income 1.12B USD= 15.94%

The tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 2.11B USD−Pretax Income 1.12B USD= 982.98M USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 982.98M USDTotal Debt 19.91B USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 15.94%)= 4.15%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 19.91B USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 46.95B USD + 19.91B USD= 29.78%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 70.22%×Cost of Equity 12.98%+Debt Weight 29.78%×Cost of Debt 4.15%= 10.35%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2026-06-30.

Total Assets 42.65B USD − Total Liabilities 37.15B USD = Book Value Today 5.50B USD

Total Debt 19.91B USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 435.43M USD = Net Debt Today 19.48B USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 1-4.4%at most 5%passes335,961,328 / 351,457,016
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets7.3%at least -10.0%passes(4.07B USD − 944.94M USD) ÷ 42.65B USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today8.54×at most 3×does not pass46.95B USD ÷ 5.50B USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue12.0%above 10.0%passes2.14B USD ÷ 17.76B USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 13.0%above 10.0%does not pass17.76B USD / 17.24B USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap-41.5%above -30%does not pass(435.43M USD − 19.91B USD) ÷ 46.95B USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit36.6%above 25.0%passes2.14B USD ÷ 5.84B USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Market data
The data provider's own ratios and the analysts' consensus, read beside the valuation, never in it.

Share price

140 USD

Enterprise value

69.54B USD

market cap plus net debt

EV / EBITDA

10.45×

Price / book

15.62×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

23.57×

Return on equity

43.0%

the provider's, not the engine's

Profit margin

11.6%

Revenue growth

-5.5%

Analyst target, mean

213 USD

Analysts

19

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow the screener holds, year by year, in USD.

Financial statements, year by year
The annual lines the screener holds today, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.
USD2022202320242025
Income statement

Revenue

13.74B14.79B17.24B17.76B

Gross profit

1.68B5.53B7.53B5.84B

Operating income

-1.10B2.71B4.09B2.14B

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

1.05B4.58B6.96B5.06B

Pretax income

-1.56B2.00B3.47B1.12B

Net income

-1.23B1.49B2.66B944.94M

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

-1.43B1.47B2.59B1.09B

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

32.82B33.00B37.81B41.59B

Total liabilities

27.90B27.67B32.22B36.48B

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

4.91B5.31B5.58B5.10B

Total debt

13.35B14.69B17.07B20.09B

Cash and equivalents

455.45M3.49B1.19B785.78M

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

12.62B12.44B18.19B19.87B

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

779.78M1.82B-313.31M-2.64B
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

485.48M5.46B4.57B4.07B

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-1.30B-1.68B-2.08B-2.75B

Depreciation and amortisation

2.05B1.96B2.63B2.95B

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

-816.82M3.78B2.49B1.32B