Saga plc

SAGA.L · Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services · Valued as of 2026-11-03 · Statements 2026-01-31

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

What it is worth

EPV + Growth

187.43M USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

588.26M USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

Profit is over 3× the larger of EPV and FCFF

FCFF

96.33M USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Average Intrinsic Value

290.67M USD

The plain average of EPV, Profit and FCFF

Against the price

Market Cap

1.51B USD

the price on the date above times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

0.19×

the ratio the screener ranks by

Margin of Safety

-419.4%

1 − Market Cap / Average Intrinsic Value

Projections, not exact values. Intrinsic Values are projected from each company's past reports. They show which stocks look cheap compared with the others, not exactly what a stock is worth.

Earnings power value plus growth: 187.43M USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)471.02M USD
−②Net Debt Today537.05M USD
+③Growth Value253.47M USD
=Value187.43M USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

471.02M USD

Net debt today

-537.05M USD

Growth Value

+253.47M USD

Value

187.43M USD

①EPV (earnings power value)

471.02M USD

②Net Debt Today

537.05M USD

③Growth Value

253.47M USD

Market value

Market Cap1.51B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-705.5%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 588.26M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE456.29M USD
+②Equity at Year 15, Today131.97M USD
=Value588.26M USD
FCFE: the net income left for the shareholders once the business keeps what next year's growth needsEquity reinvestment: the part of the year's net income kept in the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releases to the shareholdersPresent value of the FCFEColoured bars show the FCFE, grey bars the equity reinvestment. With a positive equity reinvestment the two stacked are the year's normalized income; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the normalized income is the FCFE plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth falling to its long-run rate and the ROE on new investment falling to the cost of equity. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

456.29M USD

②Equity at Year 15, Today

131.97M USD

Market value

Market Cap1.51B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-156.6%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 96.33M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).

The projection was not made (a change in working capital above half the operating profit in the latest three years), so the value is the book value today, 96.33M USD, as the screener leaves it.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

Not in the value

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

Not in the value

③Net Debt Today

Not in the value

Market value

Market Cap1.51B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-1467.3%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 13.29%
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 2.02×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 16.64%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC 25.00% (default): the statements print a tax provision of -2.76M USD on a pretax income of 2.90M USD, which gives no rate between 0 and the profit before tax, so the 25% default stands for the tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 93.84M USD−Pretax Income 2.90M USD= 90.94M USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 90.94M USDTotal Debt 893.62M USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 25.00%)= 7.63%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 893.62M USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 1.51B USD + 893.62M USD= 37.18%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 62.82%×Cost of Equity 16.64%+Debt Weight 37.18%×Cost of Debt 7.63%= 13.29%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2026-01-31.

Total Assets 1.76B USD − Total Liabilities 1.67B USD = Book Value Today 96.33M USD

Total Debt 893.62M USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 356.56M USD = Net Debt Today 537.05M USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 12.1%at most 5%passes143,955,485 / 140,995,822
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets8.9%at least -10.0%passes(161.70M USD − 4.98M USD) ÷ 1.76B USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today15.67×at most 3×does not pass1.51B USD ÷ 96.33M USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue15.2%above 10.0%passes138.89M USD ÷ 912.14M USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 124.7%above 10.0%passes912.14M USD / 731.63M USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap-35.7%above -30%does not pass(355.18M USD − 893.62M USD) ÷ 1.51B USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit31.5%above 25.0%passes138.89M USD ÷ 440.73M USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Share price

776.42 GBp

Enterprise value

808.68M GBP

the provider's own figure

EV / EBITDA

5.51×

Price / book

16.06×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

43.09×

Return on equity

30.3%

the provider's figure, not this page's

Profit margin

5.1%

Revenue growth

12.3%

Analyst target, mean

950.95 GBp

Analysts

4

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The annual lines the screener holds, year by year, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.

USD2023202420252026
Income statement

Revenue

820.73M717.51M731.63M912.14M

Gross profit

513.43M333.72M347.60M440.73M

Operating income

25.60M52.99M79.59M138.89M

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

100.16M89.72M117.27M147.46M

Pretax income

-337.22M-157.33M-199.23M2.90M

Net income

-337.71M-143.60M-205.08M4.98M

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

284.82M139.07M112.77M36.02M

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

2.41B2.39B1.98B1.76B

Total liabilities

1.96B2.11B1.90B1.67B

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

451.85M284.03M71.76M96.33M

Total debt

1.10B1.05B856.24M893.62M

Cash and equivalents

218.26M239.80M160.68M355.18M

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

793.52M785.37M755.76M833.91M

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

165.33M36.22M-150.85M-125.76M
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

-17.19M106.37M140.78M161.70M

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-25.72M-33.93M-25.00M-22.25M

Depreciation and amortisation

385.20M193.55M256.93M53.62M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

-42.91M72.44M115.78M139.45M