Douglas Dynamics, Inc. PLOW

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts · valued as of 2026-11-03 · statements 2025-12-31

Average Intrinsic Value
$358.53M
Market Cap
$919.38M
Margin of Safety
-156.4%
Intrinsic / Market Ratio
0.39

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

EPV + Growth

387.46M USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

388.17M USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

299.96M USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Intrinsic Value

358.53M USD

the plain average of the three, uncapped, as the screener averages them

Intrinsic Value

358.53M USD

from the sum above

Market Cap

919.38M USD

today's price times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

0.39×

the ratio the screener ranks by; Margin of Safety -156.4% (1 − Market Cap ÷ Intrinsic Value)

Each card below builds one of the three values from the reported years.

Earnings power value plus growth: 387.46M USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)495.85M USD
−②Net Debt Today288.61M USD
+③Growth Value180.22M USD
=Value387.46M USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

495.85M USD

Net debt today

-288.61M USD

Growth Value

+180.22M USD

Value

387.46M USD

①EPV (earnings power value)

495.85M USD

②Net Debt Today

288.61M USD

③Growth Value

180.22M USD

Market value

Market Cap919.38M USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-137.3%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 388.17M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE311.17M USD
+②Equity at Year 15, Today77.00M USD
=Value388.17M USD
FCFE: the net income left for the shareholders once the business keeps what next year's growth needsEquity reinvestment: the part of the year's net income kept in the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releases to the shareholdersPresent value of the FCFEColoured bars show the FCFE, grey bars the equity reinvestment. With a positive equity reinvestment the two stacked are the year's normalized income; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the normalized income is the FCFE plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth rising to its long-run rate and the ROE on new investment falling to the cost of equity. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

311.17M USD

②Equity at Year 15, Today

77.00M USD

Market value

Market Cap919.38M USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-136.8%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 299.96M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).

The projection was not made (a change in working capital above half the operating profit in the latest three years), so the value is the book value today, 299.96M USD, as the screener leaves it.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

Not in the value

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

Not in the value

③Net Debt Today

Not in the value

Market value

Market Cap919.38M USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-206.5%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 9.66%
weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 1.20×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 11.70%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC =Tax Provision 14.62M USDPretax Income 61.57M USD= 23.75%

The tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 73.69M USD−Pretax Income 61.57M USD= 12.13M USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 12.13M USDTotal Debt 290.49M USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 23.75%)= 3.18%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 290.49M USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 919.38M USD + 290.49M USD= 24.01%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 75.99%×Cost of Equity 11.70%+Debt Weight 24.01%×Cost of Debt 3.18%= 9.66%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2026-06-30.

Total Assets 726.39M USD − Total Liabilities 426.44M USD = Book Value Today 299.96M USD

Total Debt 290.49M USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 1.88M USD = Net Debt Today 288.61M USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 10.4%at most 5%passes23,069,381 / 22,983,965
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets3.8%at least -10.0%passes(74.76M USD − 46.94M USD) ÷ 726.39M USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today3.07×at most 3×does not pass919.38M USD ÷ 299.96M USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue11.2%above 10.0%passes73.68M USD ÷ 656.71M USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 115.4%above 10.0%passes656.71M USD / 569.07M USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap-31.4%above -30%does not pass(1.88M USD − 290.49M USD) ÷ 919.38M USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit42.1%above 25.0%passes73.68M USD ÷ 174.85M USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Market data
The data provider's own ratios and the analysts' consensus, read beside the valuation, never in it.

Share price

40 USD

Enterprise value

1.21B USD

market cap plus net debt

EV / EBITDA

12.80×

Price / book

3.06×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

18.09×

Return on equity

18.4%

the provider's, not the engine's

Profit margin

7.5%

Revenue growth

10.5%

Analyst target, mean

54 USD

Analysts

4

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow the screener holds, year by year, in USD.

Financial statements, year by year
The annual lines the screener holds today, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.
USD2022202320242025
Income statement

Revenue

616.68M568.75M569.07M656.71M

Gross profit

151.61M134.40M146.98M174.85M

Operating income

58.81M44.95M47.68M73.68M

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

79.63M66.64M107.15M89.07M

Pretax income

47.41M29.26M73.96M61.57M

Net income

38.65M23.75M56.21M46.94M

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

38.65M23.75M24.96M47.20M

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

597.49M594.01M590.57M627.33M

Total liabilities

360.15M362.21M326.09M345.60M

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

237.34M231.80M264.48M281.73M

Total debt

226.76M256.96M221.69M219.27M

Cash and equivalents

20.69M24.18M5.12M8.31M

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

86.18M85.43M112.22M113.85M

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

152.64M143.86M168.20M170.36M
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

40.07M12.48M41.17M74.76M

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-12.06M-10.53M-7.82M-11.14M

Depreciation and amortisation

20.96M21.68M17.91M15.37M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

28.01M1.95M33.35M63.62M