Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. MCRI

Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos · valued as of 2026-11-03 · statements 2025-12-31

Average Intrinsic Value
$786.97M
Market Cap
$2.04B
Margin of Safety
-158.8%
Intrinsic / Market Ratio
0.39

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

EPV + Growth

842.58M USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

725.90M USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

792.41M USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Intrinsic Value

786.97M USD

the plain average of the three, uncapped, as the screener averages them

Intrinsic Value

786.97M USD

from the sum above

Market Cap

2.04B USD

today's price times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

0.39×

the ratio the screener ranks by; Margin of Safety -158.8% (1 − Market Cap ÷ Intrinsic Value)

Each card below builds one of the three values from the reported years.

Earnings power value plus growth: 842.58M USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)716.98M USD
+②Net Cash Today125.60M USD
+③Growth Value0 USD
=Value842.58M USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

716.98M USD

Net cash today

+125.60M USD

Growth Value

0 USD

Value

842.58M USD

①EPV (earnings power value)

716.98M USD

②Net Cash Today

125.60M USD

③Growth Value

0 USD

Market value

Market Cap2.04B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-141.7%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 725.90M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE626.02M USD
+②Equity at Year 15, Today99.88M USD
=Value725.90M USD
FCFE: the net income left for the shareholders once the business keeps what next year's growth needsEquity reinvestment: the part of the year's net income kept in the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releases to the shareholdersPresent value of the FCFEColoured bars show the FCFE, grey bars the equity reinvestment. With a positive equity reinvestment the two stacked are the year's normalized income; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the normalized income is the FCFE plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth rising to its long-run rate and the ROE on new investment falling to the cost of equity. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

626.02M USD

②Equity at Year 15, Today

99.88M USD

Market value

Market Cap2.04B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-180.5%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 792.41M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF601.53M USD
+②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today65.29M USD
+③Net Cash Today125.60M USD
=Value792.41M USD
FCFF: the NOPAT left for the shareholders and the lenders once the business reinvests what next year's growth needsReinvestment: the part of the year's NOPAT put back into the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releasesPresent value of the FCFFColoured bars show the FCFF, grey bars the reinvestment. With a positive reinvestment the two stacked are the year's NOPAT; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the NOPAT is the FCFF plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth rising to its long-run rate and the ROIC on new investment falling to the WACC. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

601.53M USD

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

65.29M USD

③Net Cash Today

125.60M USD

Market value

Market Cap2.04B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-157.0%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 12.87%
weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 1.41×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 12.93%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC =Tax Provision 28.07M USDPretax Income 129.56M USD= 21.66%

The tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 127.62M USD−Pretax Income 129.56M USD= —

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

No interest is read: it needs debt and an EBIT above the profit before tax, the gap between them being the interest. Without it the cost of debt takes the 4% default.

Cost of Debt 4.00% (default): with no debt or no interest read, the 4% default after tax stands for what the lenders are paid a year.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 12.80M USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 2.04B USD + 12.80M USD= 0.62%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 99.38%×Cost of Equity 12.93%+Debt Weight 0.62%×Cost of Debt 4.00%= 12.87%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2026-06-30.

Total Assets 741.90M USD − Total Liabilities 164.56M USD = Book Value Today 577.35M USD

Total Debt 12.80M USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 138.40M USD = Net Debt Today -125.60M USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 1-6.1%at most 5%passes17,922,521 / 19,091,497
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets8.5%at least -10.0%passes(164.91M USD − 101.49M USD) ÷ 741.90M USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today3.53×at most 3×does not pass2.04B USD ÷ 577.35M USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue23.4%above 10.0%passes127.62M USD ÷ 545.67M USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 14.4%above 10.0%does not pass545.67M USD / 522.71M USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap6.2%above -30%passes(138.40M USD − 12.80M USD) ÷ 2.04B USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit42.5%above 25.0%passes127.62M USD ÷ 300.35M USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Market data
The data provider's own ratios and the analysts' consensus, read beside the valuation, never in it.

Share price

114 USD

Enterprise value

1.91B USD

market cap plus net debt

EV / EBITDA

9.65×

Price / book

3.53×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

18.19×

Return on equity

20.5%

the provider's, not the engine's

Profit margin

20.4%

Revenue growth

4.2%

Analyst target, mean

127 USD

Analysts

6

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow the screener holds, year by year, in USD.

Financial statements, year by year
The annual lines the screener holds today, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.
USD2022202320242025
Income statement

Revenue

478.35M501.98M522.71M545.67M

Gross profit

259.85M269.44M281.10M300.35M

Operating income

111.55M110.26M92.60M127.62M

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

155.03M157.60M144.01M181.70M

Pretax income

109.13M108.64M92.49M129.56M

Net income

87.57M82.53M72.84M101.49M

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

87.57M82.53M72.84M101.49M

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

693.63M681.55M692.27M713.56M

Total liabilities

154.14M167.90M174.01M175.35M

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

539.49M513.65M518.27M538.21M

Total debt

20.58M20.44M14.08M13.31M

Cash and equivalents

38.82M43.40M58.82M96.56M

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

578.63M581.08M575.86M557.22M

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

-28.34M-48.45M-56.10M-20.97M
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

139.91M173.22M140.85M164.91M

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-39.52M-49.05M-47.48M-36.36M

Depreciation and amortisation

43.48M47.34M51.41M54.08M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

100.39M124.17M93.37M128.55M