Hillman Solutions Corp. HLMN

Industrials · Tools & Accessories · valued as of 2026-11-03 · statements 2025-12-31

Average Intrinsic Value
$738.08M
Market Cap
$1.41B
Margin of Safety
-91.2%
Intrinsic / Market Ratio
0.52

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

EPV + Growth

-238.63M USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

1.23B USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

1.23B USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Intrinsic Value

738.08M USD

the plain average of the three, uncapped, as the screener averages them

Intrinsic Value

738.08M USD

from the sum above

Market Cap

1.41B USD

today's price times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

0.52×

the ratio the screener ranks by; Margin of Safety -91.2% (1 − Market Cap ÷ Intrinsic Value)

Each card below builds one of the three values from the reported years.

Earnings power value plus growth: -238.63M USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)527.32M USD
−②Net Debt Today765.95M USD
+③Growth Value0 USD
=Value-238.63M USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

527.32M USD

Net debt today

-765.95M USD

Growth Value

0 USD

Value

-238.63M USD

①EPV (earnings power value)

527.32M USD

②Net Debt Today

765.95M USD

③Growth Value

0 USD

Market value

Market Cap1.41B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety—

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 1.23B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.

The projection was not made (a profit at or below zero in the latest three years), so the value is the book value today, 1.23B USD, as the screener leaves it.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

Not in the value

②Equity at Year 15, Today

Not in the value

Market value

Market Cap1.41B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-15.0%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 1.23B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).

The projection was not made (a change in working capital above half the operating profit in the latest three years), so the value is the book value today, 1.23B USD, as the screener leaves it.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

Not in the value

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

Not in the value

③Net Debt Today

Not in the value

Market value

Market Cap1.41B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-15.0%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 10.12%
weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 1.42×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 13.03%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC =Tax Provision 16.31M USDPretax Income 56.65M USD= 28.78%

The tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 113.18M USD−Pretax Income 56.65M USD= 56.52M USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 56.52M USDTotal Debt 801.82M USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 28.78%)= 5.02%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 801.82M USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 1.41B USD + 801.82M USD= 36.24%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 63.76%×Cost of Equity 13.03%+Debt Weight 36.24%×Cost of Debt 5.02%= 10.12%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2026-06-30.

Total Assets 2.38B USD − Total Liabilities 1.15B USD = Book Value Today 1.23B USD

Total Debt 801.82M USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 35.87M USD = Net Debt Today 765.95M USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 1-0.1%at most 5%passes194,803,383 / 194,913,124
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets2.7%at least -10.0%passes(105.29M USD − 40.35M USD) ÷ 2.38B USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today1.15×at most 3×passes1.41B USD ÷ 1.23B USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue7.3%above 10.0%does not pass114.08M USD ÷ 1.55B USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 15.4%above 10.0%does not pass1.55B USD / 1.47B USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap-54.3%above -30%does not pass(35.87M USD − 801.82M USD) ÷ 1.41B USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit15.1%above 25.0%does not pass114.08M USD ÷ 757.11M USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Market data
The data provider's own ratios and the analysts' consensus, read beside the valuation, never in it.

Share price

7 USD

Enterprise value

2.20B USD

market cap plus net debt

EV / EBITDA

8.62×

Price / book

1.15×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

36.23×

Return on equity

3.4%

the provider's, not the engine's

Profit margin

2.6%

Revenue growth

9.8%

Analyst target, mean

12 USD

Analysts

8

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow the screener holds, year by year, in USD.

Financial statements, year by year
The annual lines the screener holds today, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.
USD2022202320242025
Income statement

Revenue

1.49B1.48B1.47B1.55B

Gross profit

640.42M648.17M708.61M757.11M

Operating income

39.93M60.99M88.89M114.08M

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

160.06M182.75M216.05M254.42M

Pretax income

-14.68M-7.39M26.58M56.65M

Net income

-16.45M-9.60M17.27M40.35M

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

-16.45M-9.60M17.27M40.35M

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

2.47B2.33B2.33B2.36B

Total liabilities

1.32B1.18B1.15B1.13B

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

1.16B1.16B1.18B1.23B

Total debt

969.82M836.90M793.82M765.34M

Cash and equivalents

31.11M38.59M44.55M27.30M

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

257.47M288.32M306.19M306.94M

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

416.62M325.18M319.77M389.31M
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

119.13M238.27M183.52M105.29M

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-69.66M-65.83M-85.30M-70.17M

Depreciation and amortisation

120.13M121.76M130.17M141.24M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

49.47M172.44M98.22M35.12M