Halfords Group plc HFD.L

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail · valued as of 2026-11-03 · statements 2026-03-31

Average Intrinsic Value
$395.04M
Market Cap
$753.86M
Margin of Safety
-90.8%
Intrinsic / Market Ratio
0.52

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

EPV + Growth

315.69M USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

427.31M USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

442.12M USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Intrinsic Value

395.04M USD

the plain average of the three, uncapped, as the screener averages them

Intrinsic Value

395.04M USD

from the sum above

Market Cap

753.86M USD

today's price times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

0.52×

the ratio the screener ranks by; Margin of Safety -90.8% (1 − Market Cap ÷ Intrinsic Value)

Each card below builds one of the three values from the reported years.

Earnings power value plus growth: 315.69M USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)617.25M USD
−②Net Debt Today301.56M USD
+③Growth Value0 USD
=Value315.69M USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

617.25M USD

Net debt today

-301.56M USD

Growth Value

0 USD

Value

315.69M USD

①EPV (earnings power value)

617.25M USD

②Net Debt Today

301.56M USD

③Growth Value

0 USD

Market value

Market Cap753.86M USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-138.8%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 427.31M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE259.79M USD
+②Equity at Year 15, Today167.52M USD
=Value427.31M USD
FCFE: the net income left for the shareholders once the business keeps what next year's growth needsEquity reinvestment: the part of the year's net income kept in the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releases to the shareholdersPresent value of the FCFEColoured bars show the FCFE, grey bars the equity reinvestment. With a positive equity reinvestment the two stacked are the year's normalized income; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the normalized income is the FCFE plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth falling to its long-run rate and the ROE on new investment rising to the cost of equity. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

259.79M USD

②Equity at Year 15, Today

167.52M USD

Market value

Market Cap753.86M USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-76.4%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 442.12M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF575.99M USD
+②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today167.70M USD
−③Net Debt Today301.56M USD
=Value442.12M USD
FCFF: the NOPAT left for the shareholders and the lenders once the business reinvests what next year's growth needsReinvestment: the part of the year's NOPAT put back into the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releasesPresent value of the FCFFColoured bars show the FCFF, grey bars the reinvestment. With a positive reinvestment the two stacked are the year's NOPAT; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the NOPAT is the FCFF plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth rising to its long-run rate and the ROIC on new investment rising to the WACC. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

575.99M USD

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

167.70M USD

③Net Debt Today

301.56M USD

Market value

Market Cap753.86M USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-70.5%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 9.26%
weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 1.25×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 11.98%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC =Tax Provision 14.50M USDPretax Income 57.49M USD= 25.23%

The tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 70.68M USD−Pretax Income 57.49M USD= 13.19M USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 13.19M USDTotal Debt 327.01M USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 25.23%)= 3.01%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 327.01M USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 753.86M USD + 327.01M USD= 30.25%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 69.75%×Cost of Equity 11.98%+Debt Weight 30.25%×Cost of Debt 3.01%= 9.26%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2026-03-31.

Total Assets 1.54B USD − Total Liabilities 863.29M USD = Book Value Today 677.10M USD

Total Debt 327.01M USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 25.45M USD = Net Debt Today 301.56M USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 1-0.3%at most 5%passes217,877,712 / 218,426,598
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets13.1%at least -10.0%passes(245.65M USD − 43.38M USD) ÷ 1.54B USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today1.11×at most 3×passes753.86M USD ÷ 677.10M USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue3.2%above 10.0%does not pass75.56M USD ÷ 2.38B USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 16.9%above 10.0%does not pass2.38B USD / 2.22B USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap-40.0%above -30%does not pass(25.45M USD − 327.01M USD) ÷ 753.86M USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit6.0%above 25.0%does not pass75.56M USD ÷ 1.26B USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Market data
The data provider's own ratios and the analysts' consensus, read beside the valuation, never in it.

Share price

260 USD

Enterprise value

799.01M USD

market cap plus net debt

EV / EBITDA

9.48×

Price / book

1.10×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

17.33×

Return on equity

6.4%

the provider's, not the engine's

Profit margin

1.8%

Revenue growth

6.8%

Analyst target, mean

287 USD

Analysts

6

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow the screener holds, year by year, in USD.

Financial statements, year by year
The annual lines the screener holds today, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.
USD2023202420252026
Income statement

Revenue

1.95B2.14B2.22B2.38B

Gross profit

953.16M1.04B1.13B1.26B

Operating income

63.36M71.03M64.11M75.56M

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

214.27M223.96M137.02M235.24M

Pretax income

48.36M49.04M-38.85M57.49M

Net income

34.84M21.36M-43.52M43.38M

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

38.31M40.75M84.96M45.55M

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

1.67B1.62B1.52B1.54B

Total liabilities

979.82M917.20M874.34M863.29M

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

690.54M699.94M647.69M677.23M

Total debt

484.33M415.31M363.15M327.01M

Cash and equivalents

48.11M16.81M24.74M25.45M

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

508.88M464.86M432.57M435.93M

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

-30.13M-54.09M-73.43M-67.78M
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

191.95M211.58M252.16M245.65M

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-67.58M-57.63M-68.90M-77.40M

Depreciation and amortisation

153.26M160.77M163.06M164.56M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

124.37M153.94M183.26M168.25M