Green Plains Inc. GPRE

Basic Materials · Chemicals · valued as of 2026-11-02 · statements 2025-12-31

Average Intrinsic Value
$870.71M
Market Cap
$980.91M
Margin of Safety
-12.7%
Intrinsic / Market Ratio
0.89

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

EPV + Growth

870.71M USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

870.71M USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

870.71M USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Intrinsic Value

870.71M USD

the plain average of the three, uncapped, as the screener averages them

Intrinsic Value

870.71M USD

from the sum above

Market Cap

980.91M USD

today's price times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

0.89×

the ratio the screener ranks by; Margin of Safety -12.7% (1 − Market Cap ÷ Intrinsic Value)

Each card below builds one of the three values from the reported years.

Earnings power value plus growth: 870.71M USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).

The earnings power value was not computed (a NOPAT at or below zero this year), so the value is the book value today, 870.71M USD.

Market value

Market Cap980.91M USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-12.7%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 870.71M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.

The projection was not made (a profit at or below zero in the latest three years), so the value is the book value today, 870.71M USD, as the screener leaves it.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

Not in the value

②Equity at Year 15, Today

Not in the value

Market value

Market Cap980.91M USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-12.7%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 870.71M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).

The projection was not made (an operating profit at or below zero in the latest three years), so the value is the book value today, 870.71M USD, as the screener leaves it.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

Not in the value

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

Not in the value

③Net Debt Today

Not in the value

Market value

Market Cap980.91M USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-12.7%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 11.21%
weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 1.15×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 11.42%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC 25.00% (default): the statements print a tax provision of -51.80M USD on a pretax income of -143.96M USD, which gives no rate between 0 and the profit before tax, so the 25% default stands for the tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT -67.22M USD−Pretax Income -143.96M USD= 76.74M USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 76.74M USDTotal Debt 532.16M USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 25.00%)= 10.82%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 532.16M USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 980.91M USD + 532.16M USD= 35.17%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 64.83%×Cost of Equity 11.42%+Debt Weight 35.17%×Cost of Debt 10.82%= 11.21%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2026-06-30.

Total Assets 1.66B USD − Total Liabilities 788.01M USD = Book Value Today 870.71M USD

Total Debt 532.16M USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 185.57M USD = Net Debt Today 346.59M USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 117.8%at most 5%does not pass70,098,280 / 59,521,563
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets14.0%at least -10.0%passes(110.97M USD − -121.40M USD) ÷ 1.66B USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today1.13×at most 3×passes980.91M USD ÷ 870.71M USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue-4.0%above 10.0%does not pass-84.31M USD ÷ 2.09B USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 1-14.9%above 10.0%does not pass2.09B USD / 2.46B USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap-35.3%above -30%does not pass(185.57M USD − 532.16M USD) ÷ 980.91M USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit-61.5%above 25.0%does not pass-84.31M USD ÷ 137.06M USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Market data
The data provider's own ratios and the analysts' consensus, read beside the valuation, never in it.

Share price

14 USD

Enterprise value

1.34B USD

market cap plus net debt

EV / EBITDA

6.58×

Price / book

1.13×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

8.68×

Return on equity

15.5%

the provider's, not the engine's

Profit margin

6.8%

Revenue growth

-19.3%

Analyst target, mean

19 USD

Analysts

6

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow the screener holds, year by year, in USD.

Financial statements, year by year
The annual lines the screener holds today, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.
USD2022202320242025
Income statement

Revenue

3.67B3.30B2.46B2.09B

Gross profit

112.79M164.92M130.58M137.06M

Operating income

-99.05M-66.91M-78.26M-84.31M

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

26.67M53.65M52.44M31.32M

Pretax income

-98.80M-82.43M-71.37M-143.96M

Net income

-127.35M-93.48M-82.58M-121.40M

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

-127.35M-98.39M-105.45M-132.28M

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

2.13B1.94B1.78B1.58B

Total liabilities

1.06B950.22M908.54M807.23M

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

910.94M844.58M866.08M767.01M

Total debt

711.71M677.19M642.62M456.58M

Cash and equivalents

445.11M349.92M173.21M182.50M

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

1.10B1.10B1.12B1.02B

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

442.27M348.12M183.53M213.72M
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

69.78M56.40M-29.99M110.97M

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-212.58M-108.20M-95.18M-37.24M

Depreciation and amortisation

92.79M98.34M90.68M98.53M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

-142.80M-51.80M-125.17M73.74M