GrainCorp Limited GNC.AX

Consumer Defensive · Farm Products · valued as of 2026-11-03 · statements 2025-09-30

Average Intrinsic Value
$1.09B
Market Cap
$1.02B
Margin of Safety
6.5%
Intrinsic / Market Ratio
1.07

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

EPV + Growth

1.86B USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

491.09M USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

923.45M USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Intrinsic Value

1.09B USD

the plain average of the three, uncapped, as the screener averages them

Intrinsic Value

1.09B USD

from the sum above

Market Cap

1.02B USD

today's price times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

1.07×

the ratio the screener ranks by; Margin of Safety +6.5% (1 − Market Cap ÷ Intrinsic Value)

Each card below builds one of the three values from the reported years.

Earnings power value plus growth: 1.86B USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)2.07B USD
−②Net Debt Today212.55M USD
+③Growth Value0 USD
=Value1.86B USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

2.07B USD

Net debt today

-212.55M USD

Growth Value

0 USD

Value

1.86B USD

①EPV (earnings power value)

2.07B USD

②Net Debt Today

212.55M USD

③Growth Value

0 USD

Market value

Market Cap1.02B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety+45.1%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 491.09M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE272.73M USD
+②Equity at Year 15, Today218.36M USD
=Value491.09M USD
FCFE: the net income left for the shareholders once the business keeps what next year's growth needsEquity reinvestment: the part of the year's net income kept in the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releases to the shareholdersPresent value of the FCFEColoured bars show the FCFE, grey bars the equity reinvestment. With a positive equity reinvestment the two stacked are the year's normalized income; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the normalized income is the FCFE plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth rising to its long-run rate and the ROE on new investment rising to the cost of equity. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

272.73M USD

②Equity at Year 15, Today

218.36M USD

Market value

Market Cap1.02B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-107.6%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 923.45M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).

The projection was not made (a change in working capital above half the operating profit in the latest three years), so the value is the book value today, 923.45M USD, as the screener leaves it.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

Not in the value

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

Not in the value

③Net Debt Today

Not in the value

Market value

Market Cap1.02B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-10.4%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 8.62%
weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta (default) 1.00×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 10.50%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC =Tax Provision 21.41M USDPretax Income 47.70M USD= 44.89%

The tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 98.76M USD−Pretax Income 47.70M USD= 51.06M USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 51.06M USDTotal Debt 549.42M USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 44.89%)= 5.12%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 549.42M USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 1.02B USD + 549.42M USD= 35.02%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 64.98%×Cost of Equity 10.50%+Debt Weight 35.02%×Cost of Debt 5.12%= 8.62%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2025-09-30.

Total Assets 1.77B USD − Total Liabilities 847.49M USD = Book Value Today 923.45M USD

Total Debt 549.42M USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 336.87M USD = Net Debt Today 212.55M USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 1-3.5%at most 5%passes216,527,494 / 224,336,997
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets—at least -10.0%not measured(— − 26.29M USD) ÷ 1.77B USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today1.10×at most 3×passes1.02B USD ÷ 923.45M USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue2.6%above 10.0%does not pass125.25M USD ÷ 4.80B USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 16.8%above 10.0%does not pass4.80B USD / 4.50B USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap-20.8%above -30%passes(336.87M USD − 549.42M USD) ÷ 1.02B USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit20.2%above 25.0%does not pass125.25M USD ÷ 618.80M USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Market data
The data provider's own ratios and the analysts' consensus, read beside the valuation, never in it.

Share price

7 USD

Enterprise value

3.03B USD

market cap plus net debt

EV / EBITDA

40.32×

Price / book

1.06×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

—

Return on equity

-0.9%

the provider's, not the engine's

Profit margin

-0.2%

Revenue growth

-5.1%

Analyst target, mean

7 USD

Analysts

10

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow the screener holds, year by year, in USD.

Financial statements, year by year
The annual lines the screener holds today, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.
USD2022202320242025
Income statement

Revenue

5.12B5.29B4.50B4.80B

Gross profit

1.09B847.15M471.23M618.80M

Operating income

641.85M359.81M14.41M125.25M

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

459.56M361.03M174.60M177.96M

Pretax income

358.64M238.52M57.00M47.70M

Net income

248.00M160.67M42.80M26.29M

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

248.00M169.23M47.39M38.59M

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

2.18B2.20B2.01B1.77B

Total liabilities

1.23B1.18B971.12M847.49M

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

947.09M1.02B1.04B923.45M

Total debt

719.62M776.38M651.02M549.42M

Cash and equivalents

210.19M391.98M413.12M336.87M

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

556.70M522.73M568.74M521.29M

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

478.60M607.99M564.79M483.21M
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

————

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-52.68M-42.66M-37.88M-47.70M

Depreciation and amortisation

76.47M75.22M68.01M79.19M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

236.59M327.51M52.64M116.42M