Flowers Foods, Inc. FLO

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods · valued as of 2026-11-02 · statements 2025-12-31

Average Intrinsic Value
$2.53B
Market Cap
$1.36B
Margin of Safety
46.1%
Intrinsic / Market Ratio
1.85

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

EPV + Growth

3.23B USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

2.12B USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

2.23B USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Intrinsic Value

2.53B USD

the plain average of the three, uncapped, as the screener averages them

Intrinsic Value

2.53B USD

from the sum above

Market Cap

1.36B USD

today's price times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

1.85×

the ratio the screener ranks by; Margin of Safety +46.1% (1 − Market Cap ÷ Intrinsic Value)

Each card below builds one of the three values from the reported years.

Earnings power value plus growth: 3.23B USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)5.18B USD
−②Net Debt Today1.96B USD
+③Growth Value0 USD
=Value3.23B USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

5.18B USD

Net debt today

-1.96B USD

Growth Value

0 USD

Value

3.23B USD

①EPV (earnings power value)

5.18B USD

②Net Debt Today

1.96B USD

③Growth Value

0 USD

Market value

Market Cap1.36B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety+57.8%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 2.12B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE1.56B USD
+②Equity at Year 15, Today561.34M USD
=Value2.12B USD
FCFE: the net income left for the shareholders once the business keeps what next year's growth needsEquity reinvestment: the part of the year's net income kept in the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releases to the shareholdersPresent value of the FCFEColoured bars show the FCFE, grey bars the equity reinvestment. With a positive equity reinvestment the two stacked are the year's normalized income; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the normalized income is the FCFE plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth rising to its long-run rate and the ROE on new investment falling to the cost of equity. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

1.56B USD

②Equity at Year 15, Today

561.34M USD

Market value

Market Cap1.36B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety+35.7%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 2.23B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF2.11B USD
+②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today2.08B USD
−③Net Debt Today1.96B USD
=Value2.23B USD
FCFF: the NOPAT left for the shareholders and the lenders once the business reinvests what next year's growth needsReinvestment: the part of the year's NOPAT put back into the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releasesPresent value of the FCFFColoured bars show the FCFF, grey bars the reinvestment. With a positive reinvestment the two stacked are the year's NOPAT; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the NOPAT is the FCFF plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth rising to its long-run rate and the ROIC on new investment falling to the WACC. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

2.11B USD

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

2.08B USD

③Net Debt Today

1.96B USD

Market value

Market Cap1.36B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety+39.0%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 4.53%
weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 0.43×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 7.10%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC =Tax Provision 31.27M USDPretax Income 115.18M USD= 27.15%

The tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 191.92M USD−Pretax Income 115.18M USD= 76.74M USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 76.74M USDTotal Debt 2.01B USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 27.15%)= 2.78%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 2.01B USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 1.36B USD + 2.01B USD= 59.59%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 40.41%×Cost of Equity 7.10%+Debt Weight 59.59%×Cost of Debt 2.78%= 4.53%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2026-06-30.

Total Assets 4.19B USD − Total Liabilities 2.87B USD = Book Value Today 1.32B USD

Total Debt 2.01B USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 52.82M USD = Net Debt Today 1.96B USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 10.7%at most 5%passes211,989,232 / 210,420,226
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets8.7%at least -10.0%passes(446.65M USD − 83.91M USD) ÷ 4.19B USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today1.03×at most 3×passes1.36B USD ÷ 1.32B USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue6.2%above 10.0%does not pass326.43M USD ÷ 5.26B USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 13.0%above 10.0%does not pass5.26B USD / 5.11B USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap-143.6%above -30%does not pass(52.82M USD − 2.01B USD) ÷ 1.36B USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit12.7%above 25.0%does not pass326.43M USD ÷ 2.57B USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Market data
The data provider's own ratios and the analysts' consensus, read beside the valuation, never in it.

Share price

6 USD

Enterprise value

3.32B USD

market cap plus net debt

EV / EBITDA

6.81×

Price / book

1.03×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

23.78×

Return on equity

4.0%

the provider's, not the engine's

Profit margin

1.1%

Revenue growth

—

Analyst target, mean

7 USD

Analysts

5

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow the screener holds, year by year, in USD.

Financial statements, year by year
The annual lines the screener holds today, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.
USD2022202320242025
Income statement

Revenue

4.81B5.10B5.11B5.26B

Gross profit

2.31B2.46B2.53B2.57B

Operating income

311.59M187.45M366.37M326.43M

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

470.06M345.77M525.81M359.52M

Pretax income

299.01M157.26M329.27M115.18M

Net income

228.62M123.54M248.36M83.91M

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

234.61M134.87M261.73M192.83M

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

3.32B3.43B3.40B4.19B

Total liabilities

1.87B2.08B1.99B2.88B

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

1.44B1.35B1.41B1.30B

Total debt

1.19B1.35B1.36B2.09B

Cash and equivalents

165.30M22.55M5.01M12.11M

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

1.13B1.24B1.28B1.28B

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

240.76M28.59M107.87M-247.31M
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

361.25M349.70M413.08M446.65M

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-169.24M-129.21M-132.22M-127.24M

Depreciation and amortisation

142.10M151.86M159.37M167.59M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

192.01M220.50M280.86M319.41M