Backtests

4,781 picks · held 1.00 yrs on average

Would the screener's cheapest stocks have made money? One year, one vintage at a time.

How the mode, the quality filters and the projection filters change the list.
Filters
What each control narrows. The quality filters are in the panel below.
to
Filters are off by default: on the current valuation no combination beat the unfiltered ranking by a margin that held across every sample. Changing the mode leaves these filters as they are.

How each Top N did

PortfolioAvg Annualized ReturnWin RateWinners / Losers
Top 10+30.7%70.0%7 / 3
Top 15+28.7%66.7%10 / 5
Top 20+26.0%70.0%14 / 6
Top 25+27.0%68.0%17 / 8
Top 30+27.0%73.3%22 / 8
Top 50+25.4%68.0%34 / 16
Top 75+25.4%62.7%47 / 28
Top 100+21.3%63.0%63 / 37

A pick that ends at its buy price counts as a loser.

The 75 days are the SEC accelerated-filer deadline, the real delay between fiscal close and the 10-K. The year is counted from each company's own buy, because fiscal year ends run from January to December and a single sell date would give holds differing by up to eleven months. The newest vintage has not had its full year yet, so check the holding figure before comparing it to an older one.

Sectors that stand out

Best: Energy

+40.5%

82.4% won · 250 stocks

Worst: Consumer Cyclical

+3.0%

45.8% won · 590 stocks

Most consistent: Real Estate

+5.4%

Standard deviation 26.52%

The same picks by group

Energy

Stocks

250

Avg Annualized

+40.5%

Win Rate

82.4%

Best

+248.0%

Worst

-56.1%

W / L

206 / 44

Std Dev

51.13%

Avg Hold

1.00 yrs

Basic Materials

Stocks

377

Avg Annualized

+37.5%

Win Rate

62.6%

Best

+347.4%

Worst

-69.4%

W / L

236 / 141

Std Dev

70.24%

Avg Hold

1.00 yrs

Industrials

Stocks

920

Avg Annualized

+24.3%

Win Rate

64.0%

Best

+539.4%

Worst

-100.0%

W / L

589 / 331

Std Dev

59.74%

Avg Hold

1.00 yrs

Utilities

Stocks

205

Avg Annualized

+20.6%

Win Rate

77.6%

Best

+327.5%

Worst

-56.3%

W / L

159 / 46

Std Dev

40.28%

Avg Hold

1.00 yrs

Technology

Stocks

565

Avg Annualized

+17.3%

Win Rate

49.2%

Best

+730.6%

Worst

-99.9%

W / L

278 / 287

Std Dev

75.37%

Avg Hold

1.00 yrs

Financial Services

Stocks

656

Avg Annualized

+14.0%

Win Rate

66.5%

Best

+624.9%

Worst

-77.6%

W / L

436 / 220

Std Dev

45.43%

Avg Hold

1.00 yrs

Communication Services

Stocks

257

Avg Annualized

+12.0%

Win Rate

55.6%

Best

+361.4%

Worst

-77.3%

W / L

143 / 114

Std Dev

49.62%

Avg Hold

1.00 yrs

Healthcare

Stocks

493

Avg Annualized

+9.7%

Win Rate

53.8%

Best

+379.4%

Worst

-85.9%

W / L

265 / 228

Std Dev

48.64%

Avg Hold

1.00 yrs

Consumer Defensive

Stocks

332

Avg Annualized

+5.5%

Win Rate

49.1%

Best

+377.9%

Worst

-72.5%

W / L

163 / 169

Std Dev

40.98%

Avg Hold

1.00 yrs

Real Estate

Stocks

127

Avg Annualized

+5.4%

Win Rate

54.3%

Best

+107.7%

Worst

-58.8%

W / L

69 / 58

Std Dev

26.52%

Avg Hold

1.00 yrs

Consumer Cyclical

Stocks

590

Avg Annualized

+3.0%

Win Rate

45.8%

Best

+183.3%

Worst

-87.0%

W / L

270 / 320

Std Dev

36.28%

Avg Hold

1.00 yrs

9 picks are in no row above: their sector is not reported, or its group is below the minimum count.

Best three of each sector

Basic Materials

3330.HK
Lingbao Gold Group Company Ltd.

Annualized

+347.4%

Total

+345.2%

Held

1.00 yrs

A531.F
Aura Minerals Inc.

Annualized

+319.3%

Total

+317.2%

Held

1.00 yrs

3939.HK
Wanguo Gold Group Limited

Annualized

+315.5%

Total

+313.5%

Held

1.00 yrs

Communication Services

NBIS
Nebius Group N.V.

Annualized

+361.4%

Total

+359.0%

Held

1.00 yrs

ECHO
EchoStar Corporation

Annualized

+336.9%

Total

+334.7%

Held

1.00 yrs

GSAT
Globalstar, Inc.

Annualized

+173.2%

Total

+172.2%

Held

1.00 yrs

Consumer Cyclical

MDV.WA
Modivo S.A.

Annualized

+183.3%

Total

+183.1%

Held

1.00 yrs

GME
GameStop Corp.

Annualized

+165.6%

Total

+165.4%

Held

1.00 yrs

005380.KS
Hyundai Motor Company

Annualized

+155.1%

Total

+154.3%

Held

1.00 yrs

Consumer Defensive

278470.KS
APR Co., Ltd.

Annualized

+377.9%

Total

+375.4%

Held

1.00 yrs

KTD.F
East Buy Holding Limited

Annualized

+217.5%

Total

+217.2%

Held

1.00 yrs

2419.HK
Dekon Food and Agriculture Group

Annualized

+157.6%

Total

+156.8%

Held

1.00 yrs

Energy

267250.KS
HD Hyundai Co., Ltd.

Annualized

+248.0%

Total

+246.5%

Held

1.00 yrs

6269.T
MODEC, Inc.

Annualized

+247.4%

Total

+245.9%

Held

1.00 yrs

DSX.F
PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk

Annualized

+243.1%

Total

+241.6%

Held

1.00 yrs

Financial Services

006800.KS
Mirae Asset Securities Co., Ltd.

Annualized

+624.9%

Total

+620.0%

Held

1.00 yrs

WULF
TeraWulf Inc.

Annualized

+406.2%

Total

+403.4%

Held

1.00 yrs

IREN
IREN Limited

Annualized

+351.5%

Total

+349.2%

Held

1.00 yrs

Healthcare

9995.HK
RemeGen Co., Ltd.

Annualized

+379.4%

Total

+376.8%

Held

1.00 yrs

ARWR
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Annualized

+217.6%

Total

+213.3%

Held

0.99 yrs

INDV
Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Annualized

+211.2%

Total

+210.0%

Held

1.00 yrs

Industrials

BE
Bloom Energy Corporation

Annualized

+539.4%

Total

+535.3%

Held

1.00 yrs

HP6H.F
Harbin Electric Company Limited

Annualized

+466.4%

Total

+463.0%

Held

1.00 yrs

298040.KS
Hyosung Heavy Industries Corporation

Annualized

+432.9%

Total

+429.9%

Held

1.00 yrs

Real Estate

IHS
IHS Holding Limited

Annualized

+107.7%

Total

+107.2%

Held

1.00 yrs

CDE.F
City Developments Limited

Annualized

+68.9%

Total

+68.6%

Held

1.00 yrs

U1O.F
UOL Group Limited

Annualized

+67.0%

Total

+66.7%

Held

1.00 yrs

Technology

6869.HK
Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited Company

Annualized

+730.6%

Total

+724.6%

Held

1.00 yrs

402340.KS
SK Square Co., Ltd.

Annualized

+504.1%

Total

+500.4%

Held

1.00 yrs

CIFR
Cipher Digital Inc.

Annualized

+387.9%

Total

+385.3%

Held

1.00 yrs

Utilities

ENLT
Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd

Annualized

+327.5%

Total

+325.4%

Held

1.00 yrs

TGN.RO
S.N.T.G.N. Transgaz S.A.

Annualized

+230.0%

Total

+228.7%

Held

1.00 yrs

AOR.F
Solaria Energía y Medio Ambiente, S.A.

Annualized

+184.3%

Total

+183.2%

Held

1.00 yrs

Sector not reported

0JKF.L
Jackson Financial Inc.

Annualized

+403.1%

Total

+400.3%

Held

1.00 yrs

0K8D.L
Nokia Oyj

Annualized

+61.9%

Total

+61.6%

Held

1.00 yrs

0A2B.L
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A.

Annualized

+44.5%

Total

+44.4%

Held

1.00 yrs

The first 50 picks

Of 4,781 in the current filter, each with its buy, its sell and its return.

1
6666.HK
Evergrande Property Services Group Limited

Listed HK, based CN · Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Total

+38.8%

Annualized

+38.9%

Ratio at Pick

27.62T

Buy

2025-03-17
0.80 HKD

Sell

2026-03-16
1.11 HKD

Days

364

2
DOL.TO
Dollarama Inc.

Listed CA, based CA · Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores

Total

+49.5%

Annualized

+49.6%

Ratio at Pick

13.90M

Buy

2024-04-15
112.70 CAD

Sell

2025-04-15
168.54 CAD

Days

365

3
GDDY
GoDaddy Inc.

Listed US, based US · Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Total

-54.4%

Annualized

-54.5%

Ratio at Pick

21.45K

Buy

2025-03-17
180.30 USD

Sell

2026-03-16
82.18 USD

Days

364

4
SPG.F
Springer Nature AG & Co. KGaA

Listed DE, based DE · Communication Services · Publishing

Total

-34.4%

Annualized

-34.5%

Ratio at Pick

3.35K

Buy

2025-03-17
23.28 EUR

Sell

2026-03-16
15.28 EUR

Days

364

5
1364.HK
Guming Holdings Limited

Listed HK, based CN · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

Total

+83.4%

Annualized

+83.8%

Ratio at Pick

284.95

Buy

2025-03-17
15.54 HKD

Sell

2026-03-16
28.49 HKD

Days

364

6
LII
Lennox International Inc.

Listed US, based US · Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Total

-18.7%

Annualized

-18.8%

Ratio at Pick

125.88

Buy

2025-03-17
589.75 USD

Sell

2026-03-16
479.34 USD

Days

364

7
MSI
Motorola Solutions, Inc.

Listed US, based US · Technology · Communication Equipment

Total

+11.7%

Annualized

+11.7%

Ratio at Pick

101.23

Buy

2025-03-17
422.01 USD

Sell

2026-03-16
471.26 USD

Days

364

8
LEU
Centrus Energy Corp.

Listed US, based US · Energy · Uranium

Total

+179.9%

Annualized

+180.9%

Ratio at Pick

96.15

Buy

2025-03-17
76.13 USD

Sell

2026-03-16
213.05 USD

Days

364

9
NVAL.F
PTT Exploration and Production Public Company Limited

Listed DE, based TH · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Total

+33.8%

Annualized

+33.9%

Ratio at Pick

84.07

Buy

2025-03-17
2.96 EUR

Sell

2026-03-16
3.96 EUR

Days

364

10
8848.T
Leopalace21 Corporation

Listed JP, based JP · Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Total

+16.1%

Annualized

+16.1%

Ratio at Pick

62.75

Buy

2024-06-14
529.53 JPY

Sell

2025-06-13
614.61 JPY

Days

364

11
BMA
Banco Macro S.A.

Listed US, based AR · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Total

-21.0%

Annualized

-21.1%

Ratio at Pick

54.64

Buy

2025-03-17
83.18 USD

Sell

2026-03-16
65.72 USD

Days

364

12
NBS.L
Nationwide Building Society

Listed GB, based GB · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Total

+0.8%

Annualized

+0.8%

Ratio at Pick

32.17

Buy

2024-06-14
129.63 GBP

Sell

2025-06-13
130.63 GBP

Days

364

13
APA
APA Corporation

Listed US, based US · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Total

+72.4%

Annualized

+72.8%

Ratio at Pick

20.64

Buy

2025-03-17
20.05 USD

Sell

2026-03-16
34.57 USD

Days

364

14
PET.TO
Pet Valu Holdings Ltd.

Listed CA, based CA · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Total

-7.0%

Annualized

-7.0%

Ratio at Pick

20.06

Buy

2025-03-17
24.47 CAD

Sell

2026-03-16
22.76 CAD

Days

364

15
PME.AX
Pro Medicus Limited

Listed AU, based AU · Healthcare · Health Information Services

Total

+78.1%

Annualized

+78.4%

Ratio at Pick

19.40

Buy

2024-09-13
167.79 AUD

Sell

2025-09-12
298.75 AUD

Days

364

16
VG
Venture Global, Inc.

Listed US, based US · Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Total

+8.8%

Annualized

+8.8%

Ratio at Pick

16.99

Buy

2025-03-17
11.30 USD

Sell

2026-03-16
12.29 USD

Days

364

17
IAG.L
International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A.

Listed GB, based GB · Industrials · Airlines

Total

+21.9%

Annualized

+22.0%

Ratio at Pick

16.60

Buy

2025-03-17
289.29 GBp

Sell

2026-03-16
352.75 GBp

Days

364

18
1216.HK
Zhongyuan Bank Co., Ltd.

Listed HK, based CN · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Total

+6.3%

Annualized

+6.3%

Ratio at Pick

15.52

Buy

2025-03-17
0.32 HKD

Sell

2026-03-16
0.34 HKD

Days

364

19
COR
Cencora, Inc.

Listed US, based US · Healthcare · Medical Distribution

Total

+50.6%

Annualized

+51.3%

Ratio at Pick

13.92

Buy

2024-12-16
230.05 USD

Sell

2025-12-12
346.35 USD

Days

361

20
1186.HK
China Railway Construction Corporation Limited

Listed HK, based CN · Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Total

-0.2%

Annualized

-0.2%

Ratio at Pick

13.09

Buy

2025-03-17
5.47 HKD

Sell

2026-03-16
5.46 HKD

Days

364

21
BBAR
Banco BBVA Argentina S.A.

Listed US, based AR · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Total

-30.1%

Annualized

-30.2%

Ratio at Pick

12.90

Buy

2025-03-17
18.44 USD

Sell

2026-03-16
12.88 USD

Days

364

22
9668.HK
China Bohai Bank Co., Ltd.

Listed HK, based CN · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Total

-1.1%

Annualized

-1.1%

Ratio at Pick

12.52

Buy

2025-03-17
0.88 HKD

Sell

2026-03-16
0.87 HKD

Days

364

23
0267.HK
CITIC Limited

Listed HK, based HK · Industrials · Conglomerates

Total

+20.4%

Annualized

+20.5%

Ratio at Pick

12.00

Buy

2025-03-17
9.53 HKD

Sell

2026-03-16
11.47 HKD

Days

364

24
000880.KS
Hanwha Corporation

Listed KR, based KR · Industrials · Conglomerates

Total

+163.8%

Annualized

+164.6%

Ratio at Pick

11.79

Buy

2025-03-17
62070.07 KRW

Sell

2026-03-16
163711.45 KRW

Days

364

25
2009.HK
BBMG Corporation

Listed HK, based CN · Basic Materials · Building Materials

Total

+2.5%

Annualized

+2.5%

Ratio at Pick

11.63

Buy

2025-03-17
0.79 HKD

Sell

2026-03-16
0.81 HKD

Days

364

26
3BZ.F
Bank of Zhengzhou Co., Ltd.

Listed DE, based CN · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Total

+1.8%

Annualized

+1.8%

Ratio at Pick

11.63

Buy

2025-03-17
0.11 EUR

Sell

2026-03-16
0.11 EUR

Days

364

27
B95.F
Bank of Tianjin Co., Ltd.

Listed DE, based CN · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Total

+18.8%

Annualized

+18.9%

Ratio at Pick

11.56

Buy

2025-03-17
0.20 EUR

Sell

2026-03-16
0.24 EUR

Days

364

28
BFH
Bread Financial Holdings, Inc.

Listed US, based US · Financial Services · Credit Services

Total

+45.8%

Annualized

+46.0%

Ratio at Pick

11.23

Buy

2025-03-17
48.01 USD

Sell

2026-03-16
69.99 USD

Days

364

29
3698.HK
Huishang Bank Corporation Limited

Listed HK, based CN · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Total

+61.4%

Annualized

+61.6%

Ratio at Pick

10.38

Buy

2025-03-17
2.64 HKD

Sell

2026-03-16
4.26 HKD

Days

364

30
5UM.F
Genertec Universal Medical Group Company Limited

Listed DE, based CN · Financial Services · Credit Services

Total

+6.7%

Annualized

+6.7%

Ratio at Pick

10.24

Buy

2025-03-17
0.60 EUR

Sell

2026-03-16
0.64 EUR

Days

364

31
ZIM
ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.

Listed US, based IL · Industrials · Marine Shipping

Total

+45.0%

Annualized

+45.2%

Ratio at Pick

10.03

Buy

2025-03-17
18.45 USD

Sell

2026-03-16
26.75 USD

Days

364

32
3360.HK
Far East Horizon Limited

Listed HK, based HK · Financial Services · Credit Services

Total

+10.0%

Annualized

+10.0%

Ratio at Pick

9.78

Buy

2025-03-17
6.44 HKD

Sell

2026-03-16
7.08 HKD

Days

364

33
9911.HK
Newborn Town Inc.

Listed HK, based HK · Technology · Software - Application

Total

+76.3%

Annualized

+76.7%

Ratio at Pick

9.26

Buy

2025-03-17
5.71 HKD

Sell

2026-03-16
10.06 HKD

Days

364

34
ADS0.F
adidas AG

Listed DE, based DE · Consumer Cyclical · Footwear & Accessories

Total

-33.5%

Annualized

-34.2%

Ratio at Pick

8.95

Buy

2025-03-25
5.72 EUR

Sell

2026-03-16
3.80 EUR

Days

356

35
139130.KS
iM Financial Group Co., Ltd.

Listed KR, based KR · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Total

+80.6%

Annualized

+81.0%

Ratio at Pick

8.92

Buy

2025-03-17
9149.14 KRW

Sell

2026-03-16
16526.51 KRW

Days

364

36
0390.HK
China Railway Group Limited

Listed HK, based CN · Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Total

+12.4%

Annualized

+12.5%

Ratio at Pick

8.78

Buy

2025-03-17
4.03 HKD

Sell

2026-03-16
4.53 HKD

Days

364

37
034730.KS
SK Inc.

Listed KR, based KR · Industrials · Conglomerates

Total

+139.1%

Annualized

+139.9%

Ratio at Pick

8.32

Buy

2025-03-17
138338.20 KRW

Sell

2026-03-16
330830.50 KRW

Days

364

38
2B5.F
BAIC Motor Corporation Limited

Listed DE, based CN · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers

Total

-41.1%

Annualized

-41.2%

Ratio at Pick

8.00

Buy

2025-03-17
0.30 EUR

Sell

2026-03-16
0.17 EUR

Days

364

39
6623.HK
Lufax Holding Ltd

Listed HK, based CN · Financial Services · Credit Services

Total

0.0%

Annualized

0.0%

Ratio at Pick

7.80

Buy

2025-03-17
10.91 HKD

Sell

2026-03-16
10.91 HKD

Days

364

40
0010.HK
Hang Lung Group Limited

Listed HK, based HK · Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Total

+39.2%

Annualized

+39.4%

Ratio at Pick

7.75

Buy

2025-03-17
11.25 HKD

Sell

2026-03-16
15.67 HKD

Days

364

41
078930.KS
GS Holdings Corp.

Listed KR, based KR · Industrials · Conglomerates

Total

+67.7%

Annualized

+68.0%

Ratio at Pick

7.72

Buy

2025-03-17
37187.15 KRW

Sell

2026-03-16
62362.30 KRW

Days

364

42
0017.HK
New World Development Company Limited

Listed HK, based HK · Real Estate · Real Estate - Diversified

Total

+33.3%

Annualized

+33.4%

Ratio at Pick

7.70

Buy

2024-09-13
6.44 HKD

Sell

2025-09-12
8.58 HKD

Days

364

43
1PC.F
Legend Holdings Corporation

Listed DE, based CN · Technology · Computer Hardware

Total

-6.5%

Annualized

-6.5%

Ratio at Pick

7.61

Buy

2025-03-17
1.00 EUR

Sell

2026-03-16
0.94 EUR

Days

364

44
462870.KS
SHIFT UP

Listed KR, based KR · Communication Services · Electronic Gaming & Multimedia

Total

-49.6%

Annualized

-49.7%

Ratio at Pick

7.33

Buy

2025-03-17
59559.50 KRW

Sell

2026-03-16
30030.00 KRW

Days

364

45
1988.HK
China Minsheng Banking Corp., Ltd.

Listed HK, based CN · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Total

0.0%

Annualized

0.0%

Ratio at Pick

7.32

Buy

2025-03-17
3.91 HKD

Sell

2026-03-16
3.91 HKD

Days

364

46
FLR
Fluor Corporation

Listed US, based US · Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Total

+17.3%

Annualized

+17.4%

Ratio at Pick

7.28

Buy

2025-03-17
37.39 USD

Sell

2026-03-16
43.87 USD

Days

364

47
8425.T
Mizuho Leasing Company, Limited

Listed JP, based JP · Financial Services · Credit Services

Total

-4.2%

Annualized

-4.3%

Ratio at Pick

7.14

Buy

2024-06-14
1109.11 JPY

Sell

2025-06-13
1062.06 JPY

Days

364

48
6MT.F
Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd.

Listed DE, based CN · Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Total

0.0%

Annualized

0.0%

Ratio at Pick

7.06

Buy

2025-03-17
0.19 EUR

Sell

2026-03-16
0.19 EUR

Days

364

49
2016.HK
China Zheshang Bank Co., Ltd

Listed HK, based CN · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Total

+6.5%

Annualized

+6.5%

Ratio at Pick

7.01

Buy

2025-03-17
2.46 HKD

Sell

2026-03-16
2.62 HKD

Days

364

50
138930.KS
BNK Financial Group Inc.

Listed KR, based KR · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Total

+64.9%

Annualized

+65.2%

Ratio at Pick

6.84

Buy

2025-03-17
11011.00 KRW

Sell

2026-03-16
18158.14 KRW

Days

364

How to read this page

How one pick is made

  1. Choose

    Fiscal year closes

    Ranked by Intrinsic Value / Market Cap

  2. Buy

    75 days later

    The SEC deadline for the annual report

  3. Hold

    One year

    From each company's own buy

  4. Measure

    The return

    Top N averaged, equal weight

What Intrinsic Value means

The plain average of three values. Nothing is capped, so it can reach many times the Market Cap.

EPV + Growth

earnings power value plus growth value, less net debt.

Profit

15 years of profit paid to shareholders, plus the book value and the profit kept by then.

FCFF

15 years of free cash flow, plus the capital invested by then, less net debt.

See which stocks the same ranking picks today

The backtest shows how past picks did. The list ranks every company on its latest reports, with the same three values.

Open the list