Arrow Exploration Corp. AXL.L

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P · valued as of 2026-11-03 · statements 2025-12-31

Average Intrinsic Value
$76.09M
Market Cap
$135.21M
Margin of Safety
-77.7%
Intrinsic / Market Ratio
0.56

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

EPV + Growth

46.88M USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

111.84M USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

69.53M USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Intrinsic Value

76.09M USD

the plain average of the three, uncapped, as the screener averages them

Intrinsic Value

76.09M USD

from the sum above

Market Cap

135.21M USD

today's price times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

0.56×

the ratio the screener ranks by; Margin of Safety -77.7% (1 − Market Cap ÷ Intrinsic Value)

Each card below builds one of the three values from the reported years.

Earnings power value plus growth: 46.88M USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)18.59M USD
+②Net Cash Today28.30M USD
+③Growth Value0 USD
=Value46.88M USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

18.59M USD

Net cash today

+28.30M USD

Growth Value

0 USD

Value

46.88M USD

①EPV (earnings power value)

18.59M USD

②Net Cash Today

28.30M USD

③Growth Value

0 USD

Market value

Market Cap135.21M USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-188.4%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 111.84M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE64.11M USD
+②Equity at Year 15, Today47.73M USD
=Value111.84M USD
FCFE: the net income left for the shareholders once the business keeps what next year's growth needsEquity reinvestment: the part of the year's net income kept in the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releases to the shareholdersPresent value of the FCFEColoured bars show the FCFE, grey bars the equity reinvestment. With a positive equity reinvestment the two stacked are the year's normalized income; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the normalized income is the FCFE plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth falling to its long-run rate and the ROE on new investment falling to the cost of equity. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

64.11M USD

②Equity at Year 15, Today

47.73M USD

Market value

Market Cap135.21M USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-20.9%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 69.53M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).

The projection was not made (an FCFF at or below zero in the latest three years), so the value is the book value today, 69.53M USD, as the screener leaves it.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

Not in the value

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

Not in the value

③Net Cash Today

Not in the value

Market value

Market Cap135.21M USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-94.4%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 10.49%
weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta (default) 1.00×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 10.50%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC =Tax Provision 4.29M USDPretax Income 5.74M USD= 74.83%

The tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 5.77M USD−Pretax Income 5.74M USD= 28.70K USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 28.70K USDTotal Debt 227.73K USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 74.83%)= 3.17%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 227.73K USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 135.21M USD + 227.73K USD= 0.17%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 99.83%×Cost of Equity 10.50%+Debt Weight 0.17%×Cost of Debt 3.17%= 10.49%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2026-06-30.

Total Assets 126.32M USD − Total Liabilities 56.79M USD = Book Value Today 69.53M USD

Total Debt 227.73K USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 28.52M USD = Net Debt Today -28.30M USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 10.0%at most 5%passes285,864,348 / 285,864,348
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets20.1%at least -10.0%passes(26.83M USD − 1.44M USD) ÷ 126.32M USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today1.94×at most 3×passes135.21M USD ÷ 69.53M USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue16.7%above 10.0%passes13.26M USD ÷ 79.51M USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 1-2.6%above 10.0%does not pass79.51M USD / 81.64M USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap20.9%above -30%passes(28.52M USD − 227.73K USD) ÷ 135.21M USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit26.6%above 25.0%passes13.26M USD ÷ 49.89M USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Market data
The data provider's own ratios and the analysts' consensus, read beside the valuation, never in it.

Share price

35 USD

Enterprise value

74.09M USD

market cap plus net debt

EV / EBITDA

1.36×

Price / book

1.93×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

11.78×

Return on equity

24.6%

the provider's, not the engine's

Profit margin

16.5%

Revenue growth

115.6%

Analyst target, mean

51 USD

Analysts

3

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow the screener holds, year by year, in USD.

Financial statements, year by year
The annual lines the screener holds today, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.
USD2022202320242025
Income statement

Revenue

28.16M50.65M81.64M79.51M

Gross profit

19.46M32.52M56.25M49.89M

Operating income

6.62M13.73M29.67M13.26M

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

14.44M15.38M46.86M26.40M

Pretax income

8.45M3.04M29.28M5.74M

Net income

346.87K-1.11M13.19M1.44M

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

-1.47M6.38M13.21M6.61M

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

53.24M62.34M81.35M105.51M

Total liabilities

27.32M20.79M28.28M51.01M

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

25.92M41.55M53.07M54.50M

Total debt

1.97M320.91K219.63K200.89K

Cash and equivalents

13.07M12.15M18.86M11.22M

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

34.24M38.41M55.18M71.32M

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

-1.32M8.68M11.82M1.83M
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

12.05M16.49M39.56M26.83M

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-7.68M-27.11M-31.15M-43.23M

Depreciation and amortisation

5.53M12.20M17.55M63.34K

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

4.37M-10.62M8.41M-16.40M