Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. ALRM

Technology · Software - Application · valued as of 2026-11-02 · statements 2025-12-31

Average Intrinsic Value
$1.16B
Market Cap
$3.07B
Margin of Safety
-164.2%
Intrinsic / Market Ratio
0.38

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

EPV + Growth

957.38M USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

1.62B USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

911.23M USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Intrinsic Value

1.16B USD

the plain average of the three, uncapped, as the screener averages them

Intrinsic Value

1.16B USD

from the sum above

Market Cap

3.07B USD

today's price times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

0.38×

the ratio the screener ranks by; Margin of Safety -164.2% (1 − Market Cap ÷ Intrinsic Value)

Each card below builds one of the three values from the reported years.

Earnings power value plus growth: 957.38M USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)1.05B USD
−②Net Debt Today88.14M USD
+③Growth Value0 USD
=Value957.38M USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

1.05B USD

Net debt today

-88.14M USD

Growth Value

0 USD

Value

957.38M USD

①EPV (earnings power value)

1.05B USD

②Net Debt Today

88.14M USD

③Growth Value

0 USD

Market value

Market Cap3.07B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-220.7%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 1.62B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE1.04B USD
+②Equity at Year 15, Today574.57M USD
=Value1.62B USD
FCFE: the net income left for the shareholders once the business keeps what next year's growth needsEquity reinvestment: the part of the year's net income kept in the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releases to the shareholdersPresent value of the FCFEColoured bars show the FCFE, grey bars the equity reinvestment. With a positive equity reinvestment the two stacked are the year's normalized income; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the normalized income is the FCFE plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth falling to its long-run rate and the ROE on new investment falling to the cost of equity. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

1.04B USD

②Equity at Year 15, Today

574.57M USD

Market value

Market Cap3.07B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-89.7%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 911.23M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).

The projection was not made (a change in working capital above half the operating profit in the latest three years), so the value is the book value today, 911.23M USD, as the screener leaves it.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

Not in the value

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

Not in the value

③Net Debt Today

Not in the value

Market value

Market Cap3.07B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-237.0%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 8.00%
weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 0.76×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 9.04%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC =Tax Provision 37.66M USDPretax Income 166.77M USD= 22.58%

The tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 184.08M USD−Pretax Income 166.77M USD= 17.31M USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 17.31M USDTotal Debt 568.03M USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 22.58%)= 2.36%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 568.03M USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 3.07B USD + 568.03M USD= 15.61%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 84.39%×Cost of Equity 9.04%+Debt Weight 15.61%×Cost of Debt 2.36%= 8.00%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2026-06-30.

Total Assets 1.66B USD − Total Liabilities 747.40M USD = Book Value Today 911.23M USD

Total Debt 568.03M USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 479.90M USD = Net Debt Today 88.14M USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 1-1.7%at most 5%passes49,033,533 / 49,868,175
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets1.3%at least -10.0%passes(153.48M USD − 132.71M USD) ÷ 1.66B USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today3.37×at most 3×does not pass3.07B USD ÷ 911.23M USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue13.2%above 10.0%passes133.77M USD ÷ 1.01B USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 17.6%above 10.0%does not pass1.01B USD / 940.77M USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap-2.9%above -30%passes(479.90M USD − 568.03M USD) ÷ 3.07B USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit20.0%above 25.0%does not pass133.77M USD ÷ 669.56M USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Market data
The data provider's own ratios and the analysts' consensus, read beside the valuation, never in it.

Share price

63 USD

Enterprise value

3.20B USD

market cap plus net debt

EV / EBITDA

19.08×

Price / book

3.54×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

27.65×

Return on equity

13.3%

the provider's, not the engine's

Profit margin

11.1%

Revenue growth

9.2%

Analyst target, mean

63 USD

Analysts

5

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow the screener holds, year by year, in USD.

Financial statements, year by year
The annual lines the screener holds today, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.
USD2022202320242025
Income statement

Revenue

843.40M882.56M940.77M1.01B

Gross profit

500.48M557.08M614.29M669.56M

Operating income

51.09M66.90M108.66M133.77M

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

102.57M144.31M195.51M230.33M

Pretax income

56.65M97.92M141.82M166.77M

Net income

56.39M81.12M124.24M132.71M

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

56.39M81.12M124.24M132.71M

R&D

218.85M245.36M256.13M270.50M
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

1.33B1.44B2.04B2.14B

Total liabilities

707.23M715.42M1.27B1.25B

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

599.46M689.23M727.27M849.01M

Total debt

530.44M526.55M1.06B1.07B

Cash and equivalents

622.79M697.68M1.22B961.54M

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

86.19M78.48M116.75M117.55M

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

726.88M782.22M1.29B609.98M
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

56.96M136.10M206.62M153.48M

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-28.67M-14.19M-13.22M-17.61M

Depreciation and amortisation

42.77M42.95M42.26M46.25M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

28.29M121.91M193.40M135.88M