TLC.AX
The Lottery Corporation Limited

Consumer Cyclical · Gambling · valued as of 2026-11-03 · statements 2026-06-30

Average Intrinsic Value

1.45B USD

Market Cap

7.62B USD

Margin of Safety

-426.1%

Intrinsic / Market Ratio

0.19×

Projections, not exact values. Intrinsic Values are projected from each company's past reports. They show which stocks look cheap compared with the others, not exactly what a stock is worth.

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

EPV + Growth

3.10B USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

1.07B USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

181.95M USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Intrinsic Value

1.45B USD

the plain average of the three, uncapped, as the screener averages them

Intrinsic Value

1.45B USD

from the sum above

Market Cap

7.62B USD

the price on the date above times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

0.19×

the ratio the screener ranks by; Margin of Safety -426.1% (1 − Market Cap ÷ Intrinsic Value)

Each card below builds one of the three values from the reported years.

Profit value: The ROE of 101.61% leaves out 2024, which started with the shareholders' equity (book value) at or below zero: it is measured around a capital that losses emptied, so it, and the value grown from it, says little about the business.

Earnings power value plus growth: 3.10B USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)4.42B USD
−②Net Debt Today1.33B USD
+③Growth Value0 USD
=Value3.10B USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

4.42B USD

Net debt today

-1.33B USD

Growth Value

0 USD

Value

3.10B USD

①EPV (earnings power value)

4.42B USD

②Net Debt Today

1.33B USD

③Growth Value

0 USD

Market value

Market Cap7.62B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-146.0%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 1.07B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE993.12M USD
+②Equity at Year 15, Today72.39M USD
=Value1.07B USD
FCFE: the net income left for the shareholders once the business keeps what next year's growth needsEquity reinvestment: the part of the year's net income kept in the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releases to the shareholdersPresent value of the FCFEColoured bars show the FCFE, grey bars the equity reinvestment. With a positive equity reinvestment the two stacked are the year's normalized income; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the normalized income is the FCFE plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth rising to its long-run rate and the ROE on new investment falling to the cost of equity. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

993.12M USD

②Equity at Year 15, Today

72.39M USD

Market value

Market Cap7.62B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-615.2%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 181.95M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).

The projection was not made (a change in working capital above half the operating profit in the latest three years), so the value is the book value today, 181.95M USD, as the screener leaves it.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

Not in the value

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

Not in the value

③Net Debt Today

Not in the value

Market value

Market Cap7.62B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-4088.4%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 6.46%
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 0.43×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 7.10%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC =Tax Provision 90.73M USDPretax Income 286.80M USD= 31.64%

The tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 377.74M USD−Pretax Income 286.80M USD= 90.94M USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 90.94M USDTotal Debt 1.72B USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 31.64%)= 3.62%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 1.72B USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 7.62B USD + 1.72B USD= 18.41%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 81.59%×Cost of Equity 7.10%+Debt Weight 18.41%×Cost of Debt 3.62%= 6.46%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2026-06-30.

Total Assets 3.76B USD − Total Liabilities 3.58B USD = Book Value Today 181.95M USD

Total Debt 1.72B USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 393.52M USD = Net Debt Today 1.33B USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 10.0%at most 5%passes2,225,800,000 / 2,225,800,000
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets—at least -10.0%not measured(— − 196.07M USD) ÷ 3.76B USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today41.88×at most 3×does not pass7.62B USD ÷ 181.95M USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue16.2%above 10.0%passes397.24M USD ÷ 2.45B USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 10.5%above 10.0%does not pass2.45B USD / 2.44B USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap-18.0%above -30%passes(346.74M USD − 1.72B USD) ÷ 7.62B USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit16.2%above 25.0%does not pass397.24M USD ÷ 2.45B USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Share price

4.86 AUD

Enterprise value

12.75B AUD

the provider's own figure

EV / EBITDA

19.09×

Price / book

40.84×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

37.38×

Return on equity

97.2%

the provider's figure, not this page's

Profit margin

8.0%

Revenue growth

-7.4%

Analyst target, mean

5.66 AUD

Analysts

15

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The annual lines the screener holds, year by year, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.

USD2023202420252026
Income statement

Revenue

2.32B2.65B2.44B2.45B

Gross profit

2.32B2.65B2.44B2.45B

Operating income

396.78M462.61M404.75M397.24M

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

402.28M525.19M499.44M456.35M

Pretax income

256.11M366.35M347.26M286.80M

Net income

175.47M275.61M239.03M196.07M

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

177.64M275.06M236.69M222.77M

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

2.90B2.91B2.88B3.76B

Total liabilities

4.10B2.66B2.67B3.58B

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

156.05M218.36M210.45M181.95M

Total debt

3.07B1.65B1.64B1.72B

Cash and equivalents

287.91M296.85M311.88M346.74M

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

97.41M104.25M105.36M125.11M

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

-87.47M-212.70M-300.04M-964.77M
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

————

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-52.75M-45.60M-46.82M-71.65M

Depreciation and amortisation

65.07M72.10M68.73M78.61M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

249.75M282.47M307.43M219.01M