Napco Security Technologies, Inc. NSSC

Industrials · Security & Protection Services · valued as of 2026-11-03 · statements 2026-06-30

Average Intrinsic Value
$502.69M
Market Cap
$1.38B
Margin of Safety
-175.3%
Intrinsic / Market Ratio
0.36

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

EPV + Growth

530.17M USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

572.06M USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

405.86M USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Intrinsic Value

502.69M USD

the plain average of the three, uncapped, as the screener averages them

Intrinsic Value

502.69M USD

from the sum above

Market Cap

1.38B USD

today's price times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

0.36×

the ratio the screener ranks by; Margin of Safety -175.3% (1 − Market Cap ÷ Intrinsic Value)

Each card below builds one of the three values from the reported years.

Earnings power value plus growth: 530.17M USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)317.31M USD
+②Net Cash Today132.52M USD
+③Growth Value80.34M USD
=Value530.17M USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

317.31M USD

Net cash today

+132.52M USD

Growth Value

+80.34M USD

Value

530.17M USD

①EPV (earnings power value)

317.31M USD

②Net Cash Today

132.52M USD

③Growth Value

80.34M USD

Market value

Market Cap1.38B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-161.1%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 572.06M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE474.26M USD
+②Equity at Year 15, Today97.80M USD
=Value572.06M USD
FCFE: the net income left for the shareholders once the business keeps what next year's growth needsEquity reinvestment: the part of the year's net income kept in the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releases to the shareholdersPresent value of the FCFEColoured bars show the FCFE, grey bars the equity reinvestment. With a positive equity reinvestment the two stacked are the year's normalized income; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the normalized income is the FCFE plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth falling to its long-run rate and the ROE on new investment falling to the cost of equity. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

474.26M USD

②Equity at Year 15, Today

97.80M USD

Market value

Market Cap1.38B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-142.0%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 405.86M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF263.58M USD
+②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today9.76M USD
+③Net Cash Today132.52M USD
=Value405.86M USD
FCFF: the NOPAT left for the shareholders and the lenders once the business reinvests what next year's growth needsReinvestment: the part of the year's NOPAT put back into the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releasesPresent value of the FCFFColoured bars show the FCFF, grey bars the reinvestment. With a positive reinvestment the two stacked are the year's NOPAT; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the NOPAT is the FCFF plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth rising to its long-run rate and the ROIC on new investment falling to the WACC. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

263.58M USD

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

9.76M USD

③Net Cash Today

132.52M USD

Market value

Market Cap1.38B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-241.1%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 14.21%
weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 1.50×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 13.52%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC =Tax Provision 6.80M USDPretax Income 49.87M USD= 13.64%

The tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 61.70M USD−Pretax Income 49.87M USD= 11.83M USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 11.83M USDTotal Debt 5.18M USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 13.64%)= 197.04%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 5.18M USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 1.38B USD + 5.18M USD= 0.37%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 99.63%×Cost of Equity 13.52%+Debt Weight 0.37%×Cost of Debt 197.04%= 14.21%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2026-06-30.

Total Assets 238.91M USD − Total Liabilities 47.71M USD = Book Value Today 191.19M USD

Total Debt 5.18M USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 137.70M USD = Net Debt Today -132.52M USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 1-3.0%at most 5%passes35,768,437 / 36,874,471
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets7.6%at least -10.0%passes(61.21M USD − 43.07M USD) ÷ 238.91M USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today7.24×at most 3×does not pass1.38B USD ÷ 191.19M USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue30.5%above 10.0%passes61.70M USD ÷ 202.52M USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 111.4%above 10.0%passes202.52M USD / 181.80M USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap8.8%above -30%passes(127.05M USD − 5.18M USD) ÷ 1.38B USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit51.5%above 25.0%passes61.70M USD ÷ 119.91M USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Market data
The data provider's own ratios and the analysts' consensus, read beside the valuation, never in it.

Share price

39 USD

Enterprise value

1.25B USD

market cap plus net debt

EV / EBITDA

19.69×

Price / book

7.24×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

32.22×

Return on equity

23.9%

the provider's, not the engine's

Profit margin

21.3%

Revenue growth

10.0%

Analyst target, mean

51 USD

Analysts

6

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow the screener holds, year by year, in USD.

Financial statements, year by year
The annual lines the screener holds today, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.
USD2023202420252026
Income statement

Revenue

170.17M189.01M181.80M202.52M

Gross profit

73.31M101.86M101.13M119.91M

Operating income

30.36M53.87M46.31M61.70M

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

32.29M56.04M48.58M63.91M

Pretax income

31.26M56.44M50.12M49.87M

Net income

27.15M49.87M43.45M43.07M

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

27.15M49.87M43.45M56.91M

R&D

9.34M10.77M12.59M13.80M
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

166.82M207.96M198.34M238.91M

Total liabilities

26.51M28.89M29.56M47.71M

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

140.31M179.07M168.77M191.19M

Total debt

5.69M5.52M5.34M5.18M

Cash and equivalents

35.99M65.41M83.16M127.05M

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

15.12M14.58M14.44M14.16M

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

111.78M146.68M138.53M165.69M
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

24.72M45.41M53.58M61.21M

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-2.96M-1.60M-2.12M-1.92M

Depreciation and amortisation

1.93M2.17M2.28M2.21M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

21.76M43.82M51.46M59.29M