Lundin Gold Inc.

LUG.TO · Basic Materials · Gold · Valued as of 2026-11-03 · Statements 2025-12-31

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

What it is worth

EPV + Growth

4.46B USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

7.52B USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

3.02B USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Average Intrinsic Value

5.00B USD

The plain average of EPV, Profit and FCFF

Against the price

Market Cap

15.21B USD

the price on the date above times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

0.33×

the ratio the screener ranks by

Margin of Safety

-204.2%

1 − Market Cap / Average Intrinsic Value

Projections, not exact values. Intrinsic Values are projected from each company's past reports. They show which stocks look cheap compared with the others, not exactly what a stock is worth.

Earnings power value plus growth: 4.46B USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)3.95B USD
+②Net Cash Today507.64M USD
+③Growth Value0 USD
=Value4.46B USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

3.95B USD

Net cash today

+507.64M USD

Growth Value

0 USD

Value

4.46B USD

①EPV (earnings power value)

3.95B USD

②Net Cash Today

507.64M USD

③Growth Value

0 USD

Market value

Market Cap15.21B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-241.0%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 7.52B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE6.76B USD
+②Equity at Year 15, Today766.64M USD
=Value7.52B USD
FCFE: the net income left for the shareholders once the business keeps what next year's growth needsEquity reinvestment: the part of the year's net income kept in the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releases to the shareholdersPresent value of the FCFEColoured bars show the FCFE, grey bars the equity reinvestment. With a positive equity reinvestment the two stacked are the year's normalized income; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the normalized income is the FCFE plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth falling to its long-run rate and the ROE on new investment falling to the cost of equity. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

6.76B USD

②Equity at Year 15, Today

766.64M USD

Market value

Market Cap15.21B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-102.1%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 3.02B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF2.62B USD
+②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today-116.19M USD
+③Net Cash Today507.64M USD
=Value3.02B USD
FCFF: the NOPAT left for the shareholders and the lenders once the business reinvests what next year's growth needsReinvestment: the part of the year's NOPAT put back into the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releasesPresent value of the FCFFColoured bars show the FCFF, grey bars the reinvestment. With a positive reinvestment the two stacked are the year's NOPAT; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the NOPAT is the FCFF plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth rising to its long-run rate and the ROIC on new investment falling to the WACC. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

2.62B USD

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

-116.19M USD

③Net Cash Today

507.64M USD

Market value

Market Cap15.21B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-404.2%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 13.60%
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 1.52×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 13.60%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC =Tax Provision 331.72M USDPretax Income 1.12B USD= 29.50%

The tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 1,124.67M USD−Pretax Income 1,124.67M USD= —

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

No interest is read: it needs debt and an EBIT above the profit before tax, the gap between them being the interest. Without it the cost of debt takes the 4% default.

Cost of Debt 4.00% (default): with no debt or no interest read, the 4% default after tax stands for what the lenders are paid a year.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 0 USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 15.21B USD + 0 USD= 0.00%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 100.00%×Cost of Equity 13.60%+Debt Weight 0.00%×Cost of Debt 4.00%= 13.60%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2026-06-30.

Total Assets 1.61B USD − Total Liabilities 1.06B USD = Book Value Today 544.49M USD

Total Debt 0 USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 507.64M USD = Net Debt Today -507.64M USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 11.7%at most 5%passes241,832,730 / 237,860,048
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets14.4%at least -10.0%passes(1.02B USD − 792.94M USD) ÷ 1.61B USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today27.93×at most 3×does not pass15.21B USD ÷ 544.49M USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue61.8%above 10.0%passes1.10B USD ÷ 1.78B USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 149.4%above 10.0%passes1.78B USD / 1.19B USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap3.3%above -30%passes(507.64M USD − 0 USD) ÷ 15.21B USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit89.9%above 25.0%passes1.10B USD ÷ 1.23B USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Share price

88.07 CAD

Enterprise value

20.50B CAD

the provider's own figure

EV / EBITDA

14.16×

Price / book

28.09×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

16.11×

Return on equity

101.2%

the provider's figure, not this page's

Profit margin

46.3%

Revenue growth

5.5%

Analyst target, mean

96.04 CAD

Analysts

13

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The annual lines the screener holds, year by year, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.

USD2022202320242025
Income statement

Revenue

816.48M903.42M1.19B1.78B

Gross profit

370.12M435.62M704.09M1.23B

Operating income

335.23M390.82M630.23M1.10B

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

338.26M439.86M1.04B1.26B

Pretax income

177.45M285.32M634.75M1.12B

Net income

73.63M179.64M426.48M792.94M

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

17.26M199.85M263.84M792.94M

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

1.67B1.47B1.53B1.79B

Total liabilities

817.60M512.92M311.49M423.45M

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

852.93M956.76M1.22B1.37B

Total debt

640.17M276.46M——

Cash and equivalents

363.76M268.29M349.55M630.81M

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

965.77M879.80M829.56M775.54M

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

195.00M347.21M459.40M595.25M
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

426.57M519.91M663.05M1.02B

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-54.07M-48.28M——

Depreciation and amortisation

130.81M136.77M137.14M135.27M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

372.50M519.91M663.05M1.02B