HSY
The Hershey Company

Consumer Defensive · Confectioners · valued as of 2026-11-03 · statements 2025-12-31

Average Intrinsic Value

23.59B USD

Market Cap

32.04B USD

Margin of Safety

-35.8%

Intrinsic / Market Ratio

0.74×

Projections, not exact values. Intrinsic Values are projected from each company's past reports. They show which stocks look cheap compared with the others, not exactly what a stock is worth.

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

EPV + Growth

37.99B USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

19.98B USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

12.82B USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Intrinsic Value

23.59B USD

the plain average of the three, uncapped, as the screener averages them

Intrinsic Value

23.59B USD

from the sum above

Market Cap

32.04B USD

the price on the date above times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

0.74×

the ratio the screener ranks by; Margin of Safety -35.8% (1 − Market Cap ÷ Intrinsic Value)

Each card below builds one of the three values from the reported years.

Earnings power value plus growth: 37.99B USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)43.13B USD
−②Net Debt Today5.14B USD
+③Growth Value0 USD
=Value37.99B USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

43.13B USD

Net debt today

-5.14B USD

Growth Value

0 USD

Value

37.99B USD

①EPV (earnings power value)

43.13B USD

②Net Debt Today

5.14B USD

③Growth Value

0 USD

Market value

Market Cap32.04B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety+15.7%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 19.98B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE12.75B USD
+②Equity at Year 15, Today7.23B USD
=Value19.98B USD
FCFE: the net income left for the shareholders once the business keeps what next year's growth needsEquity reinvestment: the part of the year's net income kept in the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releases to the shareholdersPresent value of the FCFEColoured bars show the FCFE, grey bars the equity reinvestment. With a positive equity reinvestment the two stacked are the year's normalized income; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the normalized income is the FCFE plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth falling to its long-run rate and the ROE on new investment falling to the cost of equity. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

12.75B USD

②Equity at Year 15, Today

7.23B USD

Market value

Market Cap32.04B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-60.4%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 12.82B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF10.01B USD
+②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today7.94B USD
−③Net Debt Today5.14B USD
=Value12.82B USD
FCFF: the NOPAT left for the shareholders and the lenders once the business reinvests what next year's growth needsReinvestment: the part of the year's NOPAT put back into the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releasesPresent value of the FCFFColoured bars show the FCFF, grey bars the reinvestment. With a positive reinvestment the two stacked are the year's NOPAT; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the NOPAT is the FCFF plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth falling to its long-run rate and the ROIC on new investment falling to the WACC. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

10.01B USD

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

7.94B USD

③Net Debt Today

5.14B USD

Market value

Market Cap32.04B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-150.0%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 4.72%
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 0.10×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 5.08%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC =Tax Provision 331.28M USDPretax Income 1.22B USD= 27.26%

The tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 1,440.45M USD−Pretax Income 1,215.42M USD= 225.03M USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 225.03M USDTotal Debt 5.93B USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 27.26%)= 2.76%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 5.93B USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 32.04B USD + 5.93B USD= 15.62%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 84.38%×Cost of Equity 5.08%+Debt Weight 15.62%×Cost of Debt 2.76%= 4.72%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2026-06-30.

Total Assets 13.99B USD − Total Liabilities 9.42B USD = Book Value Today 4.57B USD

Total Debt 5.93B USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 792.00M USD = Net Debt Today 5.14B USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 1-1.7%at most 5%passes200,915,508 / 204,392,926
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets10.0%at least -10.0%passes(2.28B USD − 884.14M USD) ÷ 13.99B USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today7.02×at most 3×does not pass32.04B USD ÷ 4.57B USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue12.5%above 10.0%passes1.46B USD ÷ 11.70B USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 14.4%above 10.0%does not pass11.70B USD / 11.21B USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap-16.0%above -30%passes(792.00M USD − 5.93B USD) ÷ 32.04B USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit37.3%above 25.0%passes1.46B USD ÷ 3.93B USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Share price

159.46 USD

Enterprise value

37.18B USD

the provider's own figure

EV / EBITDA

13.65×

Price / book

7.01×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

21.56×

Return on equity

32.8%

the provider's figure, not this page's

Profit margin

12.2%

Revenue growth

6.6%

Analyst target, mean

204.30 USD

Analysts

21

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The annual lines the screener holds, year by year, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.

USD2022202320242025
Income statement

Revenue

10.43B11.18B11.21B11.70B

Gross profit

4.50B5.00B5.31B3.93B

Operating income

2.27B2.56B2.93B1.46B

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

2.44B2.76B3.11B1.94B

Pretax income

1.92B2.17B2.48B1.22B

Net income

1.65B1.86B2.22B884.14M

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

1.81B2.04B2.47B916.97M

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

10.96B11.91B12.96B13.76B

Total liabilities

7.66B7.81B8.24B9.11B

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

3.30B4.10B4.72B4.64B

Total debt

5.12B5.13B5.45B5.74B

Cash and equivalents

464.35M402.30M731.48M926.78M

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

3.10B3.62B3.80B3.86B

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

-637.38M-96.35M-170.21M577.58M
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

2.33B2.33B2.53B2.28B

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-520.00M-771.88M-606.55M-528.75M

Depreciation and amortisation

379.34M420.23M455.71M504.20M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

1.81B1.55B1.93B1.75B