ERO.TO
Ero Copper Corp.

Basic Materials · Copper · valued as of 2026-11-03 · statements 2025-12-31

Average Intrinsic Value

1.44B USD

Market Cap

3.15B USD

Margin of Safety

-119.1%

Intrinsic / Market Ratio

0.46×

Projections, not exact values. Intrinsic Values are projected from each company's past reports. They show which stocks look cheap compared with the others, not exactly what a stock is worth.

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

EPV + Growth

1.41B USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

1.69B USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

1.22B USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Intrinsic Value

1.44B USD

the plain average of the three, uncapped, as the screener averages them

Intrinsic Value

1.44B USD

from the sum above

Market Cap

3.15B USD

the price on the date above times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

0.46×

the ratio the screener ranks by; Margin of Safety -119.1% (1 − Market Cap ÷ Intrinsic Value)

Each card below builds one of the three values from the reported years.

Earnings power value plus growth: 1.41B USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)1.44B USD
−②Net Debt Today472.08M USD
+③Growth Value440.83M USD
=Value1.41B USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

1.44B USD

Net debt today

-472.08M USD

Growth Value

+440.83M USD

Value

1.41B USD

①EPV (earnings power value)

1.44B USD

②Net Debt Today

472.08M USD

③Growth Value

440.83M USD

Market value

Market Cap3.15B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-123.8%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 1.69B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE1.13B USD
+②Equity at Year 15, Today562.32M USD
=Value1.69B USD
FCFE: the net income left for the shareholders once the business keeps what next year's growth needsEquity reinvestment: the part of the year's net income kept in the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releases to the shareholdersPresent value of the FCFEColoured bars show the FCFE, grey bars the equity reinvestment. With a positive equity reinvestment the two stacked are the year's normalized income; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the normalized income is the FCFE plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth falling to its long-run rate and the ROE on new investment falling to the cost of equity. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

1.13B USD

②Equity at Year 15, Today

562.32M USD

Market value

Market Cap3.15B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-86.5%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 1.22B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).

The projection was not made (an FCFF at or below zero in the latest three years), so the value is the book value today, 1.22B USD, as the screener leaves it.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

Not in the value

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

Not in the value

③Net Debt Today

Not in the value

Market value

Market Cap3.15B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-158.7%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 12.41%
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 1.63×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 14.27%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC =Tax Provision 64.11M USDPretax Income 331.29M USD= 19.35%

The tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 346.67M USD−Pretax Income 331.29M USD= 15.38M USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 15.38M USDTotal Debt 573.93M USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 19.35%)= 2.16%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 573.93M USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 3.15B USD + 573.93M USD= 15.39%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 84.61%×Cost of Equity 14.27%+Debt Weight 15.39%×Cost of Debt 2.16%= 12.41%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2026-06-30.

Total Assets 2.16B USD − Total Liabilities 938.18M USD = Book Value Today 1.22B USD

Total Debt 573.93M USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 101.84M USD = Net Debt Today 472.08M USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 11.5%at most 5%passes104,302,633 / 102,747,558
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets6.1%at least -10.0%passes(395.53M USD − 263.99M USD) ÷ 2.16B USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today2.59×at most 3×passes3.15B USD ÷ 1.22B USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue34.0%above 10.0%passes267.35M USD ÷ 786.63M USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 167.1%above 10.0%passes786.63M USD / 470.73M USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap-15.0%above -30%passes(101.84M USD − 573.93M USD) ÷ 3.15B USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit77.5%above 25.0%passes267.35M USD ÷ 344.97M USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Share price

42.34 CAD

Enterprise value

4.89B CAD

the provider's own figure

EV / EBITDA

9.46×

Price / book

2.59×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

10.37×

Return on equity

30.8%

the provider's figure, not this page's

Profit margin

29.8%

Revenue growth

73.9%

Analyst target, mean

56.89 CAD

Analysts

16

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The annual lines the screener holds, year by year, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.

USD2022202320242025
Income statement

Revenue

426.82M427.91M470.73M786.63M

Gross profit

187.36M157.00M180.73M344.97M

Operating income

127.72M92.59M118.75M267.35M

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

206.68M208.36M13.80M462.49M

Pretax income

126.51M112.46M-75.52M331.29M

Net income

101.93M92.90M-68.54M263.99M

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

85.68M63.82M90.72M186.70M

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

1.19B1.51B1.46B1.93B

Total liabilities

646.56M703.06M867.82M987.00M

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

539.13M805.05M587.72M936.47M

Total debt

429.45M446.28M620.69M632.98M

Cash and equivalents

177.88M111.85M50.45M105.55M

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

771.73M1.28B1.27B1.61B

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

263.57M25.71M-69.99M15.51M
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

143.53M163.26M145.56M395.53M

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-296.11M-461.11M-337.92M-282.72M

Depreciation and amortisation

59.03M83.11M87.50M115.82M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

-152.59M-297.85M-192.36M112.81M