APA.AX
APA Group

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas · valued as of 2026-11-03 · statements 2026-06-30

Average Intrinsic Value

2.14B USD

Market Cap

10.02B USD

Margin of Safety

-368.9%

Intrinsic / Market Ratio

0.21×

Projections, not exact values. Intrinsic Values are projected from each company's past reports. They show which stocks look cheap compared with the others, not exactly what a stock is worth.

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

EPV + Growth

2.66B USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

1.89B USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

1.86B USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Intrinsic Value

2.14B USD

the plain average of the three, uncapped, as the screener averages them

Intrinsic Value

2.14B USD

from the sum above

Market Cap

10.02B USD

the price on the date above times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

0.21×

the ratio the screener ranks by; Margin of Safety -368.9% (1 − Market Cap ÷ Intrinsic Value)

Each card below builds one of the three values from the reported years.

Earnings power value plus growth: 2.66B USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)10.02B USD
−②Net Debt Today8.62B USD
+③Growth Value1.26B USD
=Value2.66B USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

10.02B USD

Net debt today

-8.62B USD

Growth Value

+1.26B USD

Value

2.66B USD

①EPV (earnings power value)

10.02B USD

②Net Debt Today

8.62B USD

③Growth Value

1.26B USD

Market value

Market Cap10.02B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-277.1%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 1.89B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE1.12B USD
+②Equity at Year 15, Today774.00M USD
=Value1.89B USD
FCFE: the net income left for the shareholders once the business keeps what next year's growth needsEquity reinvestment: the part of the year's net income kept in the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releases to the shareholdersPresent value of the FCFEColoured bars show the FCFE, grey bars the equity reinvestment. With a positive equity reinvestment the two stacked are the year's normalized income; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the normalized income is the FCFE plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth rising to its long-run rate and the ROE on new investment falling to the cost of equity. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

1.12B USD

②Equity at Year 15, Today

774.00M USD

Market value

Market Cap10.02B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-429.1%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 1.86B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).

The projection was not made (a change in working capital above half the operating profit in the latest three years), so the value is the book value today, 1.86B USD, as the screener leaves it.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

Not in the value

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

Not in the value

③Net Debt Today

Not in the value

Market value

Market Cap10.02B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-438.8%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 4.51%
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 0.28×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 6.17%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC =Tax Provision 114.36M USDPretax Income 275.57M USD= 41.50%

The tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 744.04M USD−Pretax Income 275.57M USD= 468.47M USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 468.47M USDTotal Debt 9.75B USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 41.50%)= 2.81%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 9.75B USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 10.02B USD + 9.75B USD= 49.32%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 50.68%×Cost of Equity 6.17%+Debt Weight 49.32%×Cost of Debt 2.81%= 4.51%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2026-06-30.

Total Assets 13.93B USD − Total Liabilities 12.07B USD = Book Value Today 1.86B USD

Total Debt 9.75B USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 1.13B USD = Net Debt Today 8.62B USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 13.1%at most 5%passes1,323,751,413 / 1,283,352,928
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets—at least -10.0%not measured(— − 142.61M USD) ÷ 13.93B USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today5.39×at most 3×does not pass10.02B USD ÷ 1.86B USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue38.4%above 10.0%passes797.78M USD ÷ 2.08B USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 1-0.2%above 10.0%does not pass2.08B USD / 2.08B USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap-86.1%above -30%does not pass(1.13B USD − 9.75B USD) ÷ 10.02B USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit38.4%above 25.0%passes797.78M USD ÷ 2.08B USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Share price

10.68 AUD

Enterprise value

26.69B AUD

the provider's own figure

EV / EBITDA

12.93×

Price / book

5.23×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

66.69×

Return on equity

8.7%

the provider's figure, not this page's

Profit margin

6.9%

Revenue growth

-12.3%

Analyst target, mean

9.78 AUD

Analysts

11

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The annual lines the screener holds, year by year, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.

USD2023202420252026
Income statement

Revenue

1.88B2.02B2.08B2.08B

Gross profit

1.88B2.02B2.08B2.08B

Operating income

577.82M609.14M678.83M797.78M

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

1.13B1.74B1.27B1.46B

Pretax income

316.08M714.32M161.53M275.57M

Net income

174.27M651.08M64.74M142.61M

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

174.27M740.23M64.74M142.61M

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

10.51B13.02B13.04B13.93B

Total liabilities

9.25B10.86B11.29B12.07B

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

889.92M2.16B1.26B1.42B

Total debt

7.68B8.65B9.17B9.75B

Cash and equivalents

339.93M450.03M523.18M1.13B

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

7.13B8.31B8.28B8.63B

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

-23.19M-983.28M333.53M455.38M
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

————

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-781.91M-729.63M-630.43M-582.14M

Depreciation and amortisation

496.97M611.80M647.44M717.86M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

17.23M39.94M209.27M280.39M