A2M.AX
The a2 Milk Company Limited

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods · valued as of 2026-11-03 · statements 2026-06-30

Average Intrinsic Value

1.41B USD

Market Cap

3.54B USD

Margin of Safety

-150.7%

Intrinsic / Market Ratio

0.40×

Projections, not exact values. Intrinsic Values are projected from each company's past reports. They show which stocks look cheap compared with the others, not exactly what a stock is worth.

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

EPV + Growth

1.84B USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

1.79B USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

607.06M USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Intrinsic Value

1.41B USD

the plain average of the three, uncapped, as the screener averages them

Intrinsic Value

1.41B USD

from the sum above

Market Cap

3.54B USD

the price on the date above times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

0.40×

the ratio the screener ranks by; Margin of Safety -150.7% (1 − Market Cap ÷ Intrinsic Value)

Each card below builds one of the three values from the reported years.

Earnings power value plus growth: 1.84B USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)1.35B USD
+②Net Cash Today430.02M USD
+③Growth Value63.82M USD
=Value1.84B USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

1.35B USD

Net cash today

+430.02M USD

Growth Value

+63.82M USD

Value

1.84B USD

①EPV (earnings power value)

1.35B USD

②Net Cash Today

430.02M USD

③Growth Value

63.82M USD

Market value

Market Cap3.54B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-92.3%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 1.79B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE1.01B USD
+②Equity at Year 15, Today775.27M USD
=Value1.79B USD
FCFE: the net income left for the shareholders once the business keeps what next year's growth needsEquity reinvestment: the part of the year's net income kept in the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releases to the shareholdersPresent value of the FCFEColoured bars show the FCFE, grey bars the equity reinvestment. With a positive equity reinvestment the two stacked are the year's normalized income; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the normalized income is the FCFE plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth falling to its long-run rate and the ROE on new investment falling to the cost of equity. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

1.01B USD

②Equity at Year 15, Today

775.27M USD

Market value

Market Cap3.54B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-98.0%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 607.06M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).

The projection was not made (a change in working capital above half the operating profit in the latest three years), so the value is the book value today, 607.06M USD, as the screener leaves it.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

Not in the value

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

Not in the value

③Net Cash Today

Not in the value

Market value

Market Cap3.54B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-483.8%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 6.25%
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 0.29×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 6.27%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC =Tax Provision 50.39M USDPretax Income 167.77M USD= 30.04%

The tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 167.86M USD−Pretax Income 167.77M USD= 90.51K USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 90.51K USDTotal Debt 13.75M USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 30.04%)= 0.46%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 13.75M USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 3.54B USD + 13.75M USD= 0.39%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 99.61%×Cost of Equity 6.27%+Debt Weight 0.39%×Cost of Debt 0.46%= 6.25%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2026-06-30.

Total Assets 1.11B USD − Total Liabilities 502.33M USD = Book Value Today 607.06M USD

Total Debt 13.75M USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 443.77M USD = Net Debt Today -430.02M USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 10.3%at most 5%passes725,426,194 / 722,934,808
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets—at least -10.0%not measured(— − 64.25M USD) ÷ 1.11B USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today5.84×at most 3×does not pass3.54B USD ÷ 607.06M USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue12.5%above 10.0%passes139.43M USD ÷ 1.12B USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 1-3.2%above 10.0%does not pass1.12B USD / 1.15B USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap12.1%above -30%passes(443.77M USD − 13.75M USD) ÷ 3.54B USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit26.2%above 25.0%passes139.43M USD ÷ 531.97M USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Share price

6.92 AUD

Enterprise value

4.30B AUD

the provider's own figure

EV / EBITDA

14.19×

Price / book

5.76×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

28.79×

Return on equity

16.6%

the provider's figure, not this page's

Profit margin

5.8%

Revenue growth

6.5%

Analyst target, mean

7.60 AUD

Analysts

10

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The annual lines the screener holds, year by year, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.

USD2023202420252026
Income statement

Revenue

966.24M1.02B1.15B1.12B

Gross profit

448.88M466.94M531.22M531.97M

Operating income

110.07M102.27M132.96M139.43M

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

149.10M166.49M193.07M178.31M

Pretax income

135.34M145.05M175.58M167.77M

Net income

94.52M102.07M123.15M64.25M

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

94.52M102.07M123.15M118.77M

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

978.77M1.06B1.18B1.11B

Total liabilities

280.70M291.20M310.40M502.33M

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

695.84M771.38M880.75M607.06M

Total debt

61.66M40.33M61.15M13.75M

Cash and equivalents

487.18M590.16M667.81M443.77M

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

159.45M156.75M143.90M147.28M

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

451.15M530.61M607.56M288.83M
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

————

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-6.32M-12.50M-2.41M-41.57M

Depreciation and amortisation

11.05M19.61M15.99M10.45M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

61.26M143.27M119.89M33.75M