China Youran Dairy Group Limited

9858.HK · Consumer Defensive · Farm Products · Valued as of 2026-11-03 · Statements 2025-12-31

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

What it is worth

EPV + Growth

-1.52B USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

1.69B USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

1.69B USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Average Intrinsic Value

621.67M USD

The plain average of EPV, Profit and FCFF

Against the price

Market Cap

2.20B USD

the price on the date above times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

0.28×

the ratio the screener ranks by

Margin of Safety

-254.6%

1 − Market Cap / Average Intrinsic Value

Projections, not exact values. Intrinsic Values are projected from each company's past reports. They show which stocks look cheap compared with the others, not exactly what a stock is worth.

Earnings power value plus growth: -1.52B USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)1.90B USD
−②Net Debt Today3.42B USD
+③Growth Value0 USD
=Value-1.52B USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

1.90B USD

Net debt today

-3.42B USD

Growth Value

0 USD

Value

-1.52B USD

①EPV (earnings power value)

1.90B USD

②Net Debt Today

3.42B USD

③Growth Value

0 USD

Market value

Market Cap2.20B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety—

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 1.69B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.

The projection was not made (a profit at or below zero in the latest three years), so the value is the book value today, 1.69B USD, as the screener leaves it.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

Not in the value

②Equity at Year 15, Today

Not in the value

Market value

Market Cap2.20B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-30.1%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 1.69B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).

The projection was not made (a change in working capital above half the operating profit in the latest three years), so the value is the book value today, 1.69B USD, as the screener leaves it.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

Not in the value

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

Not in the value

③Net Debt Today

Not in the value

Market value

Market Cap2.20B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-30.1%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 5.35%
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 0.96×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 10.27%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC 25.00% (default): the statements print a tax provision of 8.24M USD on a pretax income of -54.05M USD, which gives no rate between 0 and the profit before tax, so the 25% default stands for the tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 62.97M USD−Pretax Income -54.05M USD= 117.01M USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 117.01M USDTotal Debt 3.67B USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 25.00%)= 2.39%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 3.67B USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 2.20B USD + 3.67B USD= 62.48%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 37.52%×Cost of Equity 10.27%+Debt Weight 62.48%×Cost of Debt 2.39%= 5.35%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2025-12-31.

Total Assets 6.06B USD − Total Liabilities 4.37B USD = Book Value Today 1.69B USD

Total Debt 3.67B USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 249.80M USD = Net Debt Today 3.42B USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 12.6%at most 5%passes3,892,727,833 / 3,795,404,000
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets15.1%at least -10.0%passes(850.64M USD − -61.87M USD) ÷ 6.06B USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today1.30×at most 3×passes2.20B USD ÷ 1.69B USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue3.5%above 10.0%does not pass103.38M USD ÷ 2.96B USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 17.2%above 10.0%does not pass2.96B USD / 2.76B USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap-158.7%above -30%does not pass(171.30M USD − 3.67B USD) ÷ 2.20B USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit11.7%above 25.0%does not pass103.38M USD ÷ 880.47M USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Share price

3.85 HKD

Enterprise value

37.78B HKD

the provider's own figure

EV / EBITDA

7.17×

Price / book

1.07×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

21.36×

Return on equity

4.9%

the provider's figure, not this page's

Profit margin

3.2%

Revenue growth

3.3%

Analyst target, mean

6.75 HKD

Analysts

5

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The annual lines the screener holds, year by year, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.

USD2022202320242025
Income statement

Revenue

2.59B2.63B2.76B2.96B

Gross profit

607.19M629.56M793.19M880.47M

Operating income

231.56M-19.07M120.76M103.38M

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

289.29M38.64M113.70M172.49M

Pretax income

68.32M-191.48M-106.22M-54.05M

Net income

59.63M-147.89M-94.76M-61.87M

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

58.24M-131.71M-29.11M-52.35M

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

6.25B6.51B5.99B6.06B

Total liabilities

4.13B4.66B4.32B4.37B

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

1.88B1.67B1.55B1.57B

Total debt

3.35B3.96B3.63B3.67B

Cash and equivalents

134.61M554.37M113.75M171.30M

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

2.32B2.57B2.50B2.50B

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

-1.20B-1.34B-1.75B-1.66B
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

366.26M618.31M800.75M850.64M

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-1.25B-1.13B-894.05M-769.47M

Depreciation and amortisation

63.20M77.64M96.00M109.52M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

-881.19M-515.64M-93.30M81.17M