Nongfu Spring Co., Ltd. 9633.HK

Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · valued as of 2026-11-03 · statements 2025-12-31

Average Intrinsic Value
$50.99B
Market Cap
$56.77B
Margin of Safety
-11.3%
Intrinsic / Market Ratio
0.90

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

EPV + Growth

46.98B USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

53.26B USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

52.72B USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Intrinsic Value

50.99B USD

the plain average of the three, uncapped, as the screener averages them

Intrinsic Value

50.99B USD

from the sum above

Market Cap

56.77B USD

today's price times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

0.90×

the ratio the screener ranks by; Margin of Safety -11.3% (1 − Market Cap ÷ Intrinsic Value)

Each card below builds one of the three values from the reported years.

Earnings power value plus growth: 46.98B USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)33.99B USD
+②Net Cash Today2.04B USD
+③Growth Value10.95B USD
=Value46.98B USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

33.99B USD

Net cash today

+2.04B USD

Growth Value

+10.95B USD

Value

46.98B USD

①EPV (earnings power value)

33.99B USD

②Net Cash Today

2.04B USD

③Growth Value

10.95B USD

Market value

Market Cap56.77B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-20.8%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 53.26B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE36.58B USD
+②Equity at Year 15, Today16.68B USD
=Value53.26B USD
FCFE: the net income left for the shareholders once the business keeps what next year's growth needsEquity reinvestment: the part of the year's net income kept in the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releases to the shareholdersPresent value of the FCFEColoured bars show the FCFE, grey bars the equity reinvestment. With a positive equity reinvestment the two stacked are the year's normalized income; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the normalized income is the FCFE plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth falling to its long-run rate and the ROE on new investment falling to the cost of equity. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

36.58B USD

②Equity at Year 15, Today

16.68B USD

Market value

Market Cap56.77B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-6.6%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 52.72B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF38.63B USD
+②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today12.06B USD
+③Net Cash Today2.04B USD
=Value52.72B USD
FCFF: the NOPAT left for the shareholders and the lenders once the business reinvests what next year's growth needsReinvestment: the part of the year's NOPAT put back into the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releasesPresent value of the FCFFColoured bars show the FCFF, grey bars the reinvestment. With a positive reinvestment the two stacked are the year's NOPAT; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the NOPAT is the FCFF plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth falling to its long-run rate and the ROIC on new investment falling to the WACC. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

38.63B USD

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

12.06B USD

③Net Cash Today

2.04B USD

Market value

Market Cap56.77B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-7.7%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 5.81%
weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 0.23×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 5.86%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC =Tax Provision 722.46M USDPretax Income 2.99B USD= 24.14%

The tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 3.00B USD−Pretax Income 2.99B USD= 9.57M USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 9.57M USDTotal Debt 642.81M USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 24.14%)= 1.13%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 642.81M USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 56.77B USD + 642.81M USD= 1.12%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 98.88%×Cost of Equity 5.86%+Debt Weight 1.12%×Cost of Debt 1.13%= 5.81%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2025-12-31.

Total Assets 9.32B USD − Total Liabilities 3.68B USD = Book Value Today 5.65B USD

Total Debt 642.81M USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 2.68B USD = Net Debt Today -2.04B USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 10.0%at most 5%passes11,246,466,400 / 11,246,466,400
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets8.1%at least -10.0%passes(3.02B USD − 2.27B USD) ÷ 9.32B USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today10.05×at most 3×does not pass56.77B USD ÷ 5.65B USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue38.6%above 10.0%passes2.91B USD ÷ 7.52B USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 127.8%above 10.0%passes7.52B USD / 5.88B USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap1.7%above -30%passes(1.60B USD − 642.81M USD) ÷ 56.77B USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit63.8%above 25.0%passes2.91B USD ÷ 4.55B USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Market data
The data provider's own ratios and the analysts' consensus, read beside the valuation, never in it.

Share price

40 USD

Enterprise value

418.19B USD

market cap plus net debt

EV / EBITDA

16.89×

Price / book

10.21×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

22.34×

Return on equity

50.0%

the provider's, not the engine's

Profit margin

30.2%

Revenue growth

16.0%

Analyst target, mean

53 USD

Analysts

24

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow the screener holds, year by year, in USD.

Financial statements, year by year
The annual lines the screener holds today, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.
USD2022202320242025
Income statement

Revenue

4.78B6.01B5.88B7.52B

Gross profit

2.75B3.58B3.42B4.55B

Operating income

1.43B2.06B2.02B2.91B

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

1.96B2.59B2.57B3.49B

Pretax income

1.59B2.21B2.17B2.99B

Net income

1.22B1.70B1.66B2.27B

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

1.22B1.70B1.66B2.25B

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

5.64B6.92B7.29B9.32B

Total liabilities

2.18B2.90B2.86B3.68B

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

3.46B4.02B4.43B5.65B

Total debt

362.98M452.10M513.94M642.81M

Cash and equivalents

2.19B3.40B1.47B1.60B

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

2.34B2.56B3.06B3.73B

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

540.54M1.21B-125.21M249.06M
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

1.73B2.44B1.51B3.02B

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-625.64M-684.90M-886.16M-972.38M

Depreciation and amortisation

357.51M370.63M394.29M485.41M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

1.11B1.75B625.63M2.05B