China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. 6099.HK

Financial Services · Capital Markets · valued as of 2026-11-03 · statements 2025-12-31

Average Intrinsic Value
$17.11B
Market Cap
$15.58B
Margin of Safety
9.0%
Intrinsic / Market Ratio
1.10

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

EPV + Growth

6.81B USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

23.18B USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

21.34B USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Intrinsic Value

17.11B USD

the plain average of the three, uncapped, as the screener averages them

Intrinsic Value

17.11B USD

from the sum above

Market Cap

15.58B USD

today's price times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

1.10×

the ratio the screener ranks by; Margin of Safety +9.0% (1 − Market Cap ÷ Intrinsic Value)

Each card below builds one of the three values from the reported years.

Earnings power value plus growth: 6.81B USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)4.78B USD
−②Net Debt Today0 USD
+③Growth Value2.03B USD
=Value6.81B USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

4.78B USD

Net debt today

0 USD

Growth Value

+2.03B USD

Value

6.81B USD

①EPV (earnings power value)

4.78B USD

②Net Debt Today

0 USD

③Growth Value

2.03B USD

Market value

Market Cap15.58B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-128.7%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 23.18B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE13.61B USD
+②Equity at Year 15, Today9.57B USD
=Value23.18B USD
FCFE: the net income left for the shareholders once the business keeps what next year's growth needsEquity reinvestment: the part of the year's net income kept in the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releases to the shareholdersPresent value of the FCFEColoured bars show the FCFE, grey bars the equity reinvestment. With a positive equity reinvestment the two stacked are the year's normalized income; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the normalized income is the FCFE plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth rising to its long-run rate and the ROE on new investment falling to the cost of equity. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

13.61B USD

②Equity at Year 15, Today

9.57B USD

Market value

Market Cap15.58B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety+32.8%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 21.34B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).

The projection was not made (FCFF does not apply to a bank: its working capital is its loans and deposits), so the value is the book value today, 21.34B USD, as the screener leaves it.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

Not in the value

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

Not in the value

③Net Debt Today

Not in the value

Market value

Market Cap15.58B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety+27.0%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 5.08%
weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 0.50×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 7.48%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC =Tax Provision 251.56M USDPretax Income 2.01B USD= 12.49%

The tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT —−Pretax Income 2.01B USD= —

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

No interest is read: it needs debt and an EBIT above the profit before tax, the gap between them being the interest. Without it the cost of debt takes the 4% default.

Cost of Debt 4.00% (default): with no debt or no interest read, the 4% default after tax stands for what the lenders are paid a year.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 34.37B USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 15.58B USD + 34.37B USD= 68.81%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 31.19%×Cost of Equity 7.48%+Debt Weight 68.81%×Cost of Debt 4.00%= 5.08%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2026-06-30.

Total Assets 128.40B USD − Total Liabilities 107.06B USD = Book Value Today 21.34B USD

Net debt today 0: a bank's debt is the money it lends on, not how the business is financed.

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 10.0%at most 5%passes8,696,526,806 / 8,696,526,806
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets-4.9%at least -10.0%passes(-4.49B USD − 1.77B USD) ÷ 128.40B USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today0.73×at most 3×passes15.58B USD ÷ 21.34B USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue8.2%above 10.0%does not pass277.55M USD ÷ 3.37B USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 126.7%above 10.0%passes3.37B USD / 2.66B USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap184.9%above -30%passes(63.18B USD − 34.37B USD) ÷ 15.58B USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit—above 25.0%not measured0 USD ÷ 0 USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Market data
The data provider's own ratios and the analysts' consensus, read beside the valuation, never in it.

Share price

14 USD

Enterprise value

73.44B USD

market cap plus net debt

EV / EBITDA

—

Price / book

0.83×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

6.26×

Return on equity

12.8%

the provider's, not the engine's

Profit margin

48.8%

Revenue growth

157.9%

Analyst target, mean

18 USD

Analysts

6

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow the screener holds, year by year, in USD.

Financial statements, year by year
The annual lines the screener holds today, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.
USD2022202320242025
Income statement

Revenue

2.52B2.57B2.66B3.37B

Gross profit

————

Operating income

————

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

————

Pretax income

1.23B1.31B1.54B2.01B

Net income

1.16B1.23B1.42B1.77B

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

1.16B1.23B1.42B1.77B

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

87.93B98.01B98.91B107.81B

Total liabilities

71.36B80.82B81.05B88.06B

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

16.56B17.18B17.86B19.75B

Total debt

26.39B30.34B26.96B31.75B

Cash and equivalents

33.20B34.41B39.26B46.46B

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

390.72M384.04M329.73M334.74M

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

————
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

8.99B3.82B7.51B-4.49B

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-80.54M-85.67M-104.75M-103.38M

Depreciation and amortisation

77.45M81.80M94.75M106.73M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

8.90B3.73B7.40B-4.59B