3994.T
Money Forward, Inc.

Technology · Software - Application · valued as of 2026-11-03 · statements 2025-11-30

Average Intrinsic Value

361.90M USD

Market Cap

2.12B USD

Margin of Safety

-485.7%

Intrinsic / Market Ratio

0.17×

Projections, not exact values. Intrinsic Values are projected from each company's past reports. They show which stocks look cheap compared with the others, not exactly what a stock is worth.

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

EPV + Growth

361.90M USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

361.90M USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

361.90M USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Intrinsic Value

361.90M USD

the plain average of the three, uncapped, as the screener averages them

Intrinsic Value

361.90M USD

from the sum above

Market Cap

2.12B USD

the price on the date above times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

0.17×

the ratio the screener ranks by; Margin of Safety -485.7% (1 − Market Cap ÷ Intrinsic Value)

Each card below builds one of the three values from the reported years.

Earnings power value plus growth: 361.90M USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).

The earnings power value was not computed (a NOPAT at or below zero this year), so the value is the book value today, 361.90M USD.

Market value

Market Cap2.12B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-485.7%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 361.90M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.

The projection was not made (a profit at or below zero in the latest three years), so the value is the book value today, 361.90M USD, as the screener leaves it.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

Not in the value

②Equity at Year 15, Today

Not in the value

Market value

Market Cap2.12B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-485.7%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 361.90M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).

The projection was not made (an operating profit at or below zero in the latest three years), so the value is the book value today, 361.90M USD, as the screener leaves it.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

Not in the value

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

Not in the value

③Net Cash Today

Not in the value

Market value

Market Cap2.12B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-485.7%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 10.37%
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 1.21×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 11.77%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC =Tax Provision 7.76M USDPretax Income 21.73M USD= 35.70%

The tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 23.42M USD−Pretax Income 21.73M USD= 1.69M USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 1.69M USDTotal Debt 297.21M USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 35.70%)= 0.36%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 297.21M USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 2.12B USD + 297.21M USD= 12.30%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 87.70%×Cost of Equity 11.77%+Debt Weight 12.30%×Cost of Debt 0.36%= 10.37%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2026-05-31.

Total Assets 902.68M USD − Total Liabilities 540.79M USD = Book Value Today 361.90M USD

Total Debt 297.21M USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 338.87M USD = Net Debt Today -41.66M USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 12.5%at most 5%passes55,465,041 / 54,120,181
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets-0.1%at least -10.0%passes(9.59M USD − 10.17M USD) ÷ 902.68M USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today5.86×at most 3×does not pass2.12B USD ÷ 361.90M USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue-5.3%above 10.0%does not pass-17.00M USD ÷ 322.49M USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 120.7%above 10.0%passes322.49M USD / 267.27M USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap-0.6%above -30%passes(285.25M USD − 297.21M USD) ÷ 2.12B USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit-7.8%above 25.0%does not pass-17.00M USD ÷ 219.25M USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Share price

5992.99 JPY

Enterprise value

347.33B JPY

the provider's own figure

EV / EBITDA

63.60×

Price / book

7.45×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

76.17×

Return on equity

8.6%

the provider's figure, not this page's

Profit margin

7.7%

Revenue growth

24.2%

Analyst target, mean

5735.73 JPY

Analysts

10

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The annual lines the screener holds, year by year, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.

USD2022202320242025
Income statement

Revenue

154.95M206.82M267.27M322.49M

Gross profit

96.66M129.91M179.18M219.25M

Operating income

-61.10M-43.09M-31.35M-17.00M

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

-57.49M-28.89M-12.70M55.64M

Pretax income

-69.37M-46.33M-37.36M21.73M

Net income

-68.18M-42.99M-41.92M10.17M

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

-67.87M-42.44M-40.03M-11.00M

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

476.07M601.00M703.15M817.07M

Total liabilities

222.96M365.04M407.33M459.25M

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

235.44M192.84M247.89M280.82M

Total debt

121.94M206.78M234.70M216.80M

Cash and equivalents

192.72M264.52M299.63M262.43M

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

13.62M14.62M14.93M19.74M

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

107.14M164.86M177.46M171.67M
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

-29.75M16.75M-31.53M9.59M

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-30.79M-36.63M-42.18M-58.27M

Depreciation and amortisation

11.29M16.55M23.52M32.22M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

-60.55M-19.88M-73.70M-48.69M