3962.T
CHANGE Holdings,Inc.

Technology · Information Technology Services · valued as of 2026-11-03 · statements 2026-03-31

Average Intrinsic Value

792.69M USD

Market Cap

441.90M USD

Margin of Safety

44.3%

Intrinsic / Market Ratio

1.79×

Projections, not exact values. Intrinsic Values are projected from each company's past reports. They show which stocks look cheap compared with the others, not exactly what a stock is worth.

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

EPV + Growth

1.09B USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

660.88M USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

631.71M USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Intrinsic Value

792.69M USD

the plain average of the three, uncapped, as the screener averages them

Intrinsic Value

792.69M USD

from the sum above

Market Cap

441.90M USD

the price on the date above times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

1.79×

the ratio the screener ranks by; Margin of Safety +44.3% (1 − Market Cap ÷ Intrinsic Value)

Each card below builds one of the three values from the reported years.

Earnings power value plus growth: 1.09B USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)1.10B USD
−②Net Debt Today18.35M USD
+③Growth Value0 USD
=Value1.09B USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

1.10B USD

Net debt today

-18.35M USD

Growth Value

0 USD

Value

1.09B USD

①EPV (earnings power value)

1.10B USD

②Net Debt Today

18.35M USD

③Growth Value

0 USD

Market value

Market Cap441.90M USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety+59.3%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 660.88M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE355.93M USD
+②Equity at Year 15, Today304.94M USD
=Value660.88M USD
FCFE: the net income left for the shareholders once the business keeps what next year's growth needsEquity reinvestment: the part of the year's net income kept in the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releases to the shareholdersPresent value of the FCFEColoured bars show the FCFE, grey bars the equity reinvestment. With a positive equity reinvestment the two stacked are the year's normalized income; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the normalized income is the FCFE plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth falling to its long-run rate and the ROE on new investment falling to the cost of equity. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

355.93M USD

②Equity at Year 15, Today

304.94M USD

Market value

Market Cap441.90M USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety+33.1%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 631.71M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF397.74M USD
+②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today252.33M USD
−③Net Debt Today18.35M USD
=Value631.71M USD
FCFF: the NOPAT left for the shareholders and the lenders once the business reinvests what next year's growth needsReinvestment: the part of the year's NOPAT put back into the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releasesPresent value of the FCFFColoured bars show the FCFF, grey bars the reinvestment. With a positive reinvestment the two stacked are the year's NOPAT; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the NOPAT is the FCFF plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth rising to its long-run rate and the ROIC on new investment falling to the WACC. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

397.74M USD

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

252.33M USD

③Net Debt Today

18.35M USD

Market value

Market Cap441.90M USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety+30.0%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 4.94%
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 0.33×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 6.46%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC =Tax Provision 24.05M USDPretax Income 69.01M USD= 34.85%

The tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 72.53M USD−Pretax Income 69.01M USD= 3.51M USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 3.51M USDTotal Debt 182.36M USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 34.85%)= 1.26%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 182.36M USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 441.90M USD + 182.36M USD= 29.21%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 70.79%×Cost of Equity 6.46%+Debt Weight 29.21%×Cost of Debt 1.26%= 4.94%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2026-03-31.

Total Assets 661.35M USD − Total Liabilities 318.29M USD = Book Value Today 343.06M USD

Total Debt 182.36M USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 164.01M USD = Net Debt Today 18.35M USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 1-3.8%at most 5%passes69,578,947 / 72,355,427
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets0.3%at least -10.0%passes(45.42M USD − 43.44M USD) ÷ 661.35M USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today1.29×at most 3×passes441.90M USD ÷ 343.06M USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue21.0%above 10.0%passes69.44M USD ÷ 330.83M USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 16.6%above 10.0%does not pass330.83M USD / 310.35M USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap-4.2%above -30%passes(163.96M USD − 182.36M USD) ÷ 441.90M USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit38.5%above 25.0%passes69.44M USD ÷ 180.56M USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Share price

997.00 JPY

Enterprise value

80.73B JPY

the provider's own figure

EV / EBITDA

5.92×

Price / book

1.53×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

9.99×

Return on equity

13.4%

the provider's figure, not this page's

Profit margin

12.3%

Revenue growth

9.9%

Analyst target, mean

—

Analysts

—

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The annual lines the screener holds, year by year, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.

USD2023202420252026
Income statement

Revenue

150.46M244.66M310.35M330.83M

Gross profit

94.10M152.30M173.20M180.56M

Operating income

43.22M63.26M83.35M69.44M

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

50.37M61.21M106.52M89.10M

Pretax income

42.48M47.92M84.63M69.01M

Net income

28.98M28.17M49.98M43.44M

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

29.09M37.10M46.74M43.67M

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

397.86M620.19M701.56M661.35M

Total liabilities

102.29M290.21M369.65M318.29M

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

274.12M260.98M275.58M292.80M

Total debt

25.65M158.76M230.61M182.36M

Cash and equivalents

172.60M253.84M201.95M163.96M

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

19.15M14.21M18.73M16.70M

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

203.23M232.61M176.69M154.12M
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

-8.59M79.78M52.43M45.42M

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-23.95M-14.69M-6.76M-5.66M

Depreciation and amortisation

7.30M12.05M16.61M16.58M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

-32.54M65.09M45.66M39.76M