China Next-Gen Commerce and Supply Chain Limited 3928.HK

Industrials · Engineering & Construction · valued as of 2026-11-03 · statements 2025-09-30

Average Intrinsic Value
$33.69M
Market Cap
$1.71B
Margin of Safety
-4974.9%
Intrinsic / Market Ratio
0.02

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

EPV + Growth

33.69M USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

33.69M USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

33.69M USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Intrinsic Value

33.69M USD

the plain average of the three, uncapped, as the screener averages them

Intrinsic Value

33.69M USD

from the sum above

Market Cap

1.71B USD

today's price times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

0.02×

the ratio the screener ranks by; Margin of Safety -4974.9% (1 − Market Cap ÷ Intrinsic Value)

Each card below builds one of the three values from the reported years.

Earnings power value plus growth: 33.69M USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).

The earnings power value was not computed (a NOPAT at or below zero this year), so the value is the book value today, 33.69M USD.

Market value

Market Cap1.71B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-4974.9%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 33.69M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.

The projection was not made (a profit at or below zero in the latest three years), so the value is the book value today, 33.69M USD, as the screener leaves it.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

Not in the value

②Equity at Year 15, Today

Not in the value

Market value

Market Cap1.71B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-4974.9%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 33.69M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).

The projection was not made (an operating profit at or below zero in the latest three years), so the value is the book value today, 33.69M USD, as the screener leaves it.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

Not in the value

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

Not in the value

③Net Cash Today

Not in the value

Market value

Market Cap1.71B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-4974.9%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 6.77%
weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 0.38×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 6.78%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC 25.00% (default): the statements print a tax provision of 0 USD on a pretax income of -683.73K USD, which gives no rate between 0 and the profit before tax, so the 25% default stands for the tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT -187.92K USD−Pretax Income -683.73K USD= 495.80K USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 495.80K USDTotal Debt 9.13M USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 25.00%)= 4.07%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 9.13M USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 1.71B USD + 9.13M USD= 0.53%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 99.47%×Cost of Equity 6.78%+Debt Weight 0.53%×Cost of Debt 4.07%= 6.77%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2026-03-31.

Total Assets 55.72M USD − Total Liabilities 22.04M USD = Book Value Today 33.69M USD

Total Debt 9.13M USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 12.50M USD = Net Debt Today -3.37M USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 13.3%at most 5%passes496,000,000 / 480,000,000
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets1.3%at least -10.0%passes(52.87K USD − -683.73K USD) ÷ 55.72M USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today50.75×at most 3×does not pass1.71B USD ÷ 33.69M USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue-2.5%above 10.0%does not pass-1.22M USD ÷ 47.86M USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 19.4%above 10.0%does not pass47.86M USD / 43.75M USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap0.2%above -30%passes(12.35M USD − 9.13M USD) ÷ 1.71B USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit-31.9%above 25.0%does not pass-1.22M USD ÷ 3.81M USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Market data
The data provider's own ratios and the analysts' consensus, read beside the valuation, never in it.

Share price

27 USD

Enterprise value

13.40B USD

market cap plus net debt

EV / EBITDA

-2084.43×

Price / book

50.18×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

—

Return on equity

-19.3%

the provider's, not the engine's

Profit margin

-14.9%

Revenue growth

-49.0%

Analyst target, mean

—

Analysts

—

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow the screener holds, year by year, in USD.

Financial statements, year by year
The annual lines the screener holds today, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.
USD2022202320242025
Income statement

Revenue

46.92M41.08M43.75M47.86M

Gross profit

2.25M2.79M3.75M3.81M

Operating income

-2.79M-2.30M-649.06K-1.22M

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

2.02M1.48M2.12M1.47M

Pretax income

-1.02M-935.91K-612.90K-683.73K

Net income

-1.04M-759.97K-612.90K-683.73K

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

-2.85M-2.71M-751.31K-1.04M

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

51.36M46.61M54.44M46.08M

Total liabilities

31.08M26.13M33.20M25.67M

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

20.28M20.49M21.24M20.41M

Total debt

17.77M14.29M14.51M12.13M

Cash and equivalents

6.27M6.07M4.80M2.37M

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

9.40M8.22M9.24M7.66M

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

7.88M6.22M4.01M3.81M
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

973.62K2.15M2.46M52.87K

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-3.55K-1.12M-1.50M-306.26K

Depreciation and amortisation

2.19M1.69M2.02M1.66M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

970.08K1.03M955.23K-253.38K