Greentown China Holdings Limited 3900.HK

Real Estate · Real Estate - Development · valued as of 2026-11-02 · statements 2025-12-31

Average Intrinsic Value
$25.04B
Market Cap
$2.02B
Margin of Safety
91.9%
Intrinsic / Market Ratio
12.39

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

EPV + Growth

54.00B USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

6.00B USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

15.13B USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Intrinsic Value

25.04B USD

the plain average of the three, uncapped, as the screener averages them

Intrinsic Value

25.04B USD

from the sum above

Market Cap

2.02B USD

today's price times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

12.39×

the ratio the screener ranks by; Margin of Safety +91.9% (1 − Market Cap ÷ Intrinsic Value)

Each card below builds one of the three values from the reported years.

Earnings power value plus growth: 54.00B USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)64.68B USD
−②Net Debt Today10.69B USD
+③Growth Value0 USD
=Value54.00B USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

64.68B USD

Net debt today

-10.69B USD

Growth Value

0 USD

Value

54.00B USD

①EPV (earnings power value)

64.68B USD

②Net Debt Today

10.69B USD

③Growth Value

0 USD

Market value

Market Cap2.02B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety+96.3%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 6.00B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE1.61B USD
+②Equity at Year 15, Today4.39B USD
=Value6.00B USD
FCFE: the net income left for the shareholders once the business keeps what next year's growth needsEquity reinvestment: the part of the year's net income kept in the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releases to the shareholdersPresent value of the FCFEColoured bars show the FCFE, grey bars the equity reinvestment. With a positive equity reinvestment the two stacked are the year's normalized income; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the normalized income is the FCFE plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth falling to its long-run rate and the ROE on new investment rising to the cost of equity. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

1.61B USD

②Equity at Year 15, Today

4.39B USD

Market value

Market Cap2.02B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety+66.3%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 15.13B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).

The projection was not made (a change in working capital above half the operating profit in the latest three years), so the value is the book value today, 15.13B USD, as the screener leaves it.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

Not in the value

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

Not in the value

③Net Debt Today

Not in the value

Market value

Market Cap2.02B USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety+86.6%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 1.61%
weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 0.84×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 9.53%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC =Tax Provision 372.44M USDPretax Income 699.57M USD= 53.24%

The tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 1.02B USD−Pretax Income 699.57M USD= 318.47M USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 318.47M USDTotal Debt 19.15B USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 53.24%)= 0.78%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 19.15B USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 2.02B USD + 19.15B USD= 90.45%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 9.55%×Cost of Equity 9.53%+Debt Weight 90.45%×Cost of Debt 0.78%= 1.61%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2025-12-31.

Total Assets 64.37B USD − Total Liabilities 49.24B USD = Book Value Today 15.13B USD

Total Debt 19.15B USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 8.46B USD = Net Debt Today 10.69B USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 10.6%at most 5%passes2,539,598,690 / 2,524,457,690
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets1.2%at least -10.0%passes(804.03M USD − 10.16M USD) ÷ 64.37B USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today0.13×at most 3×passes2.02B USD ÷ 15.13B USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue6.1%above 10.0%does not pass1.35B USD ÷ 22.17B USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 12.0%above 10.0%does not pass22.17B USD / 21.75B USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap-528.7%above -30%does not pass(8.46B USD − 19.15B USD) ÷ 2.02B USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit51.0%above 25.0%passes1.35B USD ÷ 2.64B USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Market data
The data provider's own ratios and the analysts' consensus, read beside the valuation, never in it.

Share price

6 USD

Enterprise value

161.64B USD

market cap plus net debt

EV / EBITDA

21.62×

Price / book

0.39×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

—

Return on equity

1.0%

the provider's, not the engine's

Profit margin

0.0%

Revenue growth

-26.0%

Analyst target, mean

10 USD

Analysts

8

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow the screener holds, year by year, in USD.

Financial statements, year by year
The annual lines the screener holds today, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.
USD2022202320242025
Income statement

Revenue

18.28B18.50B21.75B22.17B

Gross profit

3.17B2.40B2.77B2.64B

Operating income

1.98B1.31B1.57B1.35B

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

2.41B1.89B1.42B1.11B

Pretax income

1.91B1.37B970.24M699.57M

Net income

396.21M439.12M218.96M10.16M

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

545.28M552.02M604.56M318.98M

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

76.92B75.43B69.65B64.37B

Total liabilities

60.91B59.38B54.08B49.24B

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

5.40B5.09B4.98B5.03B

Total debt

19.82B20.67B18.89B19.15B

Cash and equivalents

9.53B9.83B9.45B8.46B

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

1.53B1.68B1.65B1.81B

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

22.66B22.60B20.87B20.16B
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

2.10B3.24B3.95B804.03M

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-56.60M-50.64M-48.89M-49.63M

Depreciation and amortisation

109.67M109.81M100.96M95.42M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

2.04B3.19B3.91B754.40M