3299.T
MUGEN ESTATE Co.,Ltd.

Real Estate · Real Estate - Development · valued as of 2026-11-03 · statements 2025-12-31

Average Intrinsic Value

610.84M USD

Market Cap

247.59M USD

Margin of Safety

59.5%

Intrinsic / Market Ratio

2.47×

Projections, not exact values. Intrinsic Values are projected from each company's past reports. They show which stocks look cheap compared with the others, not exactly what a stock is worth.

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

EPV + Growth

985.13M USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

626.76M USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

220.63M USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Intrinsic Value

610.84M USD

the plain average of the three, uncapped, as the screener averages them

Intrinsic Value

610.84M USD

from the sum above

Market Cap

247.59M USD

the price on the date above times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

2.47×

the ratio the screener ranks by; Margin of Safety +59.5% (1 − Market Cap ÷ Intrinsic Value)

Each card below builds one of the three values from the reported years.

Earnings power value plus growth: 985.13M USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)1.13B USD
−②Net Debt Today299.52M USD
+③Growth Value156.70M USD
=Value985.13M USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

1.13B USD

Net debt today

-299.52M USD

Growth Value

+156.70M USD

Value

985.13M USD

①EPV (earnings power value)

1.13B USD

②Net Debt Today

299.52M USD

③Growth Value

156.70M USD

Market value

Market Cap247.59M USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety+74.9%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 626.76M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE387.73M USD
+②Equity at Year 15, Today239.03M USD
=Value626.76M USD
FCFE: the net income left for the shareholders once the business keeps what next year's growth needsEquity reinvestment: the part of the year's net income kept in the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releases to the shareholdersPresent value of the FCFEColoured bars show the FCFE, grey bars the equity reinvestment. With a positive equity reinvestment the two stacked are the year's normalized income; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the normalized income is the FCFE plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth falling to its long-run rate and the ROE on new investment falling to the cost of equity. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

387.73M USD

②Equity at Year 15, Today

239.03M USD

Market value

Market Cap247.59M USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety+60.5%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 220.63M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).

The projection was not made (a change in working capital above half the operating profit in the latest three years), so the value is the book value today, 220.63M USD, as the screener leaves it.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

Not in the value

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

Not in the value

③Net Debt Today

Not in the value

Market value

Market Cap247.59M USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-12.2%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 3.50%
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 0.53×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 7.70%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC =Tax Provision 21.04M USDPretax Income 63.66M USD= 33.05%

The tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 69.71M USD−Pretax Income 63.66M USD= 6.05M USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 6.05M USDTotal Debt 412.76M USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 33.05%)= 0.98%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 412.76M USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 247.59M USD + 412.76M USD= 62.51%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 37.49%×Cost of Equity 7.70%+Debt Weight 62.51%×Cost of Debt 0.98%= 3.50%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2026-06-30.

Total Assets 681.73M USD − Total Liabilities 461.10M USD = Book Value Today 220.63M USD

Total Debt 412.76M USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 113.24M USD = Net Debt Today 299.52M USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 10.1%at most 5%passes23,578,389 / 23,562,675
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets-12.6%at least -10.0%does not pass(-43.24M USD − 42.62M USD) ÷ 681.73M USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today1.12×at most 3×passes247.59M USD ÷ 220.63M USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue16.2%above 10.0%passes70.72M USD ÷ 436.86M USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 110.2%above 10.0%passes436.86M USD / 396.50M USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap-121.0%above -30%does not pass(113.24M USD − 412.76M USD) ÷ 247.59M USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit57.2%above 25.0%passes70.72M USD ÷ 123.69M USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Share price

1646.64 JPY

Enterprise value

87.32B JPY

the provider's own figure

EV / EBITDA

9.11×

Price / book

1.09×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

8.32×

Return on equity

13.5%

the provider's figure, not this page's

Profit margin

7.5%

Revenue growth

-9.9%

Analyst target, mean

—

Analysts

—

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The annual lines the screener holds, year by year, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.

USD2022202320242025
Income statement

Revenue

235.29M365.49M396.50M436.86M

Gross profit

53.85M80.73M105.61M123.69M

Operating income

22.42M42.02M61.36M70.72M

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

27.09M47.16M66.38M76.39M

Pretax income

17.16M36.96M56.45M63.66M

Net income

11.78M25.85M38.80M42.62M

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

11.93M25.95M38.83M42.63M

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

583.27M568.78M557.92M682.84M

Total liabilities

397.98M371.71M353.41M453.72M

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

185.29M197.06M204.51M229.12M

Total debt

371.33M337.22M311.25M401.53M

Cash and equivalents

133.71M144.53M140.37M132.59M

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

48.42M36.49M17.68M37.94M

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

389.15M387.19M391.67M437.73M
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

-86.54M38.04M16.58M-43.24M

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-1.17M-3.65M-1.12M-24.54M

Depreciation and amortisation

5.00M5.07M5.15M6.69M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

-87.71M34.39M15.46M-67.77M