2594.T
Key Coffee Inc.

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods · valued as of 2026-11-03 · statements 2026-03-31

Average Intrinsic Value

127.08M USD

Market Cap

265.30M USD

Margin of Safety

-108.8%

Intrinsic / Market Ratio

0.48×

Projections, not exact values. Intrinsic Values are projected from each company's past reports. They show which stocks look cheap compared with the others, not exactly what a stock is worth.

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

EPV + Growth

25.64M USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

153.61M USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

202.00M USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Intrinsic Value

127.08M USD

the plain average of the three, uncapped, as the screener averages them

Intrinsic Value

127.08M USD

from the sum above

Market Cap

265.30M USD

the price on the date above times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

0.48×

the ratio the screener ranks by; Margin of Safety -108.8% (1 − Market Cap ÷ Intrinsic Value)

Each card below builds one of the three values from the reported years.

Earnings power value plus growth: 25.64M USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)66.25M USD
−②Net Debt Today79.04M USD
+③Growth Value38.43M USD
=Value25.64M USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

66.25M USD

Net debt today

-79.04M USD

Growth Value

+38.43M USD

Value

25.64M USD

①EPV (earnings power value)

66.25M USD

②Net Debt Today

79.04M USD

③Growth Value

38.43M USD

Market value

Market Cap265.30M USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-934.6%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 153.61M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE37.97M USD
+②Equity at Year 15, Today115.64M USD
=Value153.61M USD
FCFE: the net income left for the shareholders once the business keeps what next year's growth needsEquity reinvestment: the part of the year's net income kept in the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releases to the shareholdersPresent value of the FCFEColoured bars show the FCFE, grey bars the equity reinvestment. With a positive equity reinvestment the two stacked are the year's normalized income; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the normalized income is the FCFE plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth rising to its long-run rate and the ROE on new investment rising to the cost of equity. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

37.97M USD

②Equity at Year 15, Today

115.64M USD

Market value

Market Cap265.30M USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-72.7%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 202.00M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).

The projection was not made (a change in working capital above half the operating profit in the latest three years), so the value is the book value today, 202.00M USD, as the screener leaves it.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

Not in the value

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

Not in the value

③Net Debt Today

Not in the value

Market value

Market Cap265.30M USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-31.3%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 3.85%
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 0.12×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 5.21%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC =Tax Provision 1.88M USDPretax Income 8.19M USD= 22.94%

The tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 9.12M USD−Pretax Income 8.19M USD= 926.85K USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 926.85K USDTotal Debt 112.10M USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 22.94%)= 0.64%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 112.10M USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 265.30M USD + 112.10M USD= 29.70%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 70.30%×Cost of Equity 5.21%+Debt Weight 29.70%×Cost of Debt 0.64%= 3.85%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2026-03-31.

Total Assets 491.75M USD − Total Liabilities 289.76M USD = Book Value Today 202.00M USD

Total Debt 112.10M USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 33.06M USD = Net Debt Today 79.04M USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 10.0%at most 5%passes21,423,453 / 21,413,144
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets-5.6%at least -10.0%passes(-21.17M USD − 6.19M USD) ÷ 491.75M USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today1.31×at most 3×passes265.30M USD ÷ 202.00M USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue1.2%above 10.0%does not pass6.78M USD ÷ 582.83M USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 112.0%above 10.0%passes582.83M USD / 520.40M USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap-29.8%above -30%passes(33.06M USD − 112.10M USD) ÷ 265.30M USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit6.5%above 25.0%does not pass6.78M USD ÷ 104.07M USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Share price

1941.94 JPY

Enterprise value

55.03B JPY

the provider's own figure

EV / EBITDA

20.63×

Price / book

1.29×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

42.06×

Return on equity

4.1%

the provider's figure, not this page's

Profit margin

1.3%

Revenue growth

16.7%

Analyst target, mean

—

Analysts

—

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The annual lines the screener holds, year by year, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.

USD2023202420252026
Income statement

Revenue

475.68M487.81M520.40M582.83M

Gross profit

106.86M100.63M97.20M104.07M

Operating income

1.89M5.08M3.30M6.78M

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

9.59M9.94M11.12M16.44M

Pretax income

2.31M3.23M3.65M8.19M

Net income

1.30M1.19M1.43M6.19M

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

1.53M3.13M1.87M6.22M

R&D

1.50M1.49M1.27M1.33M
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

389.03M362.43M389.62M491.75M

Total liabilities

159.62M157.72M182.50M289.76M

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

227.32M202.72M205.01M198.92M

Total debt

23.95M35.32M55.02M112.10M

Cash and equivalents

30.96M30.85M33.99M33.06M

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

94.00M83.26M84.07M113.39M

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

113.61M95.88M97.29M67.23M
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

-23.26M3.18M-9.05M-21.17M

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-7.82M-7.70M-7.02M-10.90M

Depreciation and amortisation

7.18M6.44M7.01M7.32M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

-31.08M-4.52M-16.08M-32.06M