China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited

1880.HK · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail · Valued as of 2026-11-03 · Statements 2025-12-31

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

What it is worth

EPV + Growth

14.52B USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

9.71B USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

9.30B USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Average Intrinsic Value

11.18B USD

The plain average of EPV, Profit and FCFF

Against the price

Market Cap

12.16B USD

the price on the date above times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

0.92×

the ratio the screener ranks by

Margin of Safety

-8.8%

1 − Market Cap / Average Intrinsic Value

Projections, not exact values. Intrinsic Values are projected from each company's past reports. They show which stocks look cheap compared with the others, not exactly what a stock is worth.

Earnings power value plus growth: 14.52B USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)12.01B USD
+②Net Cash Today2.51B USD
+③Growth Value0 USD
=Value14.52B USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

12.01B USD

Net cash today

+2.51B USD

Growth Value

0 USD

Value

14.52B USD

①EPV (Earnings Power Value)

12.01B USD

②Net Cash Today

2.51B USD

③Growth Value

0 USD

Market value

Market Cap12.16B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety+16.2%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 9.71B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE4.40B USD
+②Equity at Year 15, Today5.31B USD
=Value9.71B USD
FCFE: the net income left for the shareholders once the business keeps what next year's growth needsEquity reinvestment: the part of the year's net income kept in the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releases to the shareholdersPresent value of the FCFEColoured bars show the FCFE, grey bars the equity reinvestment. With a positive equity reinvestment the two stacked are the year's normalized income; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the normalized income is the FCFE plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth falling to its long-run rate and the ROE on new investment falling to the cost of equity. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

4.40B USD

②Equity at Year 15, Today

5.31B USD

Market value

Market Cap12.16B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-25.2%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 9.30B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).

The projection was not made (a change in working capital above half the operating profit in the latest three years), so the value is the book value today, 9.30B USD, as the screener leaves it.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

Not in the value

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

Not in the value

③Net Cash Today

Not in the value

Market value

Market Cap12.16B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-30.7%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 6.03%
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 0.35×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 6.62%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC =Tax Provision 231.49M USDPretax Income 759.39M USD= 30.48%

The tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 784.92M USD−Pretax Income 759.39M USD= 25.53M USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 25.53M USDTotal Debt 1.50B USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 30.48%)= 1.18%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 1.50B USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 12.16B USD + 1.50B USD= 10.97%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 89.03%×Cost of Equity 6.62%+Debt Weight 10.97%×Cost of Debt 1.18%= 6.03%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2026-06-30.

Total Assets 12.52B USD − Total Liabilities 3.21B USD = Book Value Today 9.30B USD

Total Debt 1.50B USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 4.00B USD = Net Debt Today -2.51B USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 10.4%at most 5%passes2,077,796,644 / 2,068,859,044
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets2.8%at least -10.0%passes(866.86M USD − 513.11M USD) ÷ 12.52B USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today1.31×at most 3×passes12.16B USD ÷ 9.30B USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue10.1%above 10.0%passes776.69M USD ÷ 7.68B USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 1-0.8%above 10.0%does not pass7.68B USD / 7.75B USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap20.6%above -30%passes(4.00B USD − 1.50B USD) ÷ 12.16B USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit30.9%above 25.0%passes776.69M USD ÷ 2.52B USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Share price

45.91 HKD

Enterprise value

75.02B HKD

the provider's own figure

EV / EBITDA

13.72×

Price / book

1.42×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

19.85×

Return on equity

6.2%

the provider's figure, not this page's

Profit margin

7.7%

Revenue growth

-5.7%

Analyst target, mean

67.59 HKD

Analysts

11

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The annual lines the screener holds, year by year, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.

Income statement (USD)2022202320242025

Revenue

7.83B9.51B7.75B7.68B

Gross profit

2.22B3.03B2.48B2.52B

Operating income

1.19B1.17B810.12M776.69M

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

1.32B1.44B1.05B972.12M

Pretax income

1.09B1.22B843.27M759.39M

Net income

723.16M945.60M585.27M513.11M

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

790.25M1.02B662.88M595.85M

R&D

5.61M8.23M2.73M12.87M
Balance sheet, year end (USD)2022202320242025

Total assets

10.91B11.11B10.46B10.73B

Total liabilities

3.13B2.77B2.10B1.98B

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

6.98B7.58B7.56B7.94B

Total debt

985.35M757.96M707.68M719.57M

Cash and equivalents

3.87B4.48B4.78B4.83B

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

1.35B1.33B1.25B1.35B

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

5.71B6.07B6.17B6.66B
Cash flow (USD)2022202320242025

Operating cash flow

-490.97M2.13B1.09B866.86M

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-430.61M-253.75M-153.48M-182.15M

Depreciation and amortisation

162.76M126.28M147.24M126.28M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

-921.58M1.88B935.47M684.71M