China Gingko Education Group Company Limited 1851.HK

Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services · valued as of 2026-11-03 · statements 2025-12-31

Average Intrinsic Value
$385.56M
Market Cap
$584.67M
Margin of Safety
-51.6%
Intrinsic / Market Ratio
0.66

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

EPV + Growth

361.65M USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

467.18M USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

327.84M USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Intrinsic Value

385.56M USD

the plain average of the three, uncapped, as the screener averages them

Intrinsic Value

385.56M USD

from the sum above

Market Cap

584.67M USD

today's price times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

0.66×

the ratio the screener ranks by; Margin of Safety -51.6% (1 − Market Cap ÷ Intrinsic Value)

Each card below builds one of the three values from the reported years.

Earnings power value plus growth: 361.65M USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)322.29M USD
+②Net Cash Today10.04M USD
+③Growth Value29.32M USD
=Value361.65M USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

322.29M USD

Net cash today

+10.04M USD

Growth Value

+29.32M USD

Value

361.65M USD

①EPV (earnings power value)

322.29M USD

②Net Cash Today

10.04M USD

③Growth Value

29.32M USD

Market value

Market Cap584.67M USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-61.7%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 467.18M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE238.29M USD
+②Equity at Year 15, Today228.89M USD
=Value467.18M USD
FCFE: the net income left for the shareholders once the business keeps what next year's growth needsEquity reinvestment: the part of the year's net income kept in the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releases to the shareholdersPresent value of the FCFEColoured bars show the FCFE, grey bars the equity reinvestment. With a positive equity reinvestment the two stacked are the year's normalized income; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the normalized income is the FCFE plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth falling to its long-run rate and the ROE on new investment falling to the cost of equity. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

238.29M USD

②Equity at Year 15, Today

228.89M USD

Market value

Market Cap584.67M USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-25.2%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 327.84M USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF210.23M USD
+②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today107.57M USD
+③Net Cash Today10.04M USD
=Value327.84M USD
FCFF: the NOPAT left for the shareholders and the lenders once the business reinvests what next year's growth needsReinvestment: the part of the year's NOPAT put back into the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releasesPresent value of the FCFFColoured bars show the FCFF, grey bars the reinvestment. With a positive reinvestment the two stacked are the year's NOPAT; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the NOPAT is the FCFF plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth falling to its long-run rate and the ROIC on new investment falling to the WACC. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

210.23M USD

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

107.57M USD

③Net Cash Today

10.04M USD

Market value

Market Cap584.67M USD

Today's price times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety-78.3%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 7.43%
weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 0.51×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 7.58%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC =Tax Provision 68.68K USDPretax Income 23.33M USD= 0.29%

The tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 24.38M USD−Pretax Income 23.33M USD= 1.05M USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 1.05M USDTotal Debt 25.82M USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 0.29%)= 4.06%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 25.82M USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 584.67M USD + 25.82M USD= 4.23%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 95.77%×Cost of Equity 7.58%+Debt Weight 4.23%×Cost of Debt 4.06%= 7.43%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2025-12-31.

Total Assets 228.22M USD − Total Liabilities 70.76M USD = Book Value Today 157.46M USD

Total Debt 25.82M USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 35.87M USD = Net Debt Today -10.04M USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 10.0%at most 5%passes500,000,000 / 500,000,000
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets3.1%at least -10.0%passes(30.25M USD − 23.26M USD) ÷ 228.22M USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today3.71×at most 3×does not pass584.67M USD ÷ 157.46M USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue42.3%above 10.0%passes24.27M USD ÷ 57.33M USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 112.2%above 10.0%passes57.33M USD / 51.12M USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap1.5%above -30%passes(34.84M USD − 25.82M USD) ÷ 584.67M USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit76.6%above 25.0%passes24.27M USD ÷ 31.68M USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Market data
The data provider's own ratios and the analysts' consensus, read beside the valuation, never in it.

Share price

9 USD

Enterprise value

4.67B USD

market cap plus net debt

EV / EBITDA

21.73×

Price / book

3.26×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

25.44×

Return on equity

14.0%

the provider's, not the engine's

Profit margin

37.4%

Revenue growth

8.3%

Analyst target, mean

—

Analysts

—

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow the screener holds, year by year, in USD.

Financial statements, year by year
The annual lines the screener holds today, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.
USD2022202320242025
Income statement

Revenue

41.14M49.98M51.12M57.33M

Gross profit

23.32M30.02M28.80M31.68M

Operating income

15.71M22.81M21.22M24.27M

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

21.97M29.46M27.95M31.83M

Pretax income

12.25M20.95M21.10M23.33M

Net income

12.22M20.85M21.01M23.26M

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

12.23M20.86M21.01M23.26M

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end

Total assets

202.54M205.55M217.59M228.22M

Total liabilities

111.01M95.03M88.95M70.76M

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

91.53M110.52M128.64M157.46M

Total debt

57.69M47.88M42.66M25.82M

Cash and equivalents

28.73M30.38M37.27M34.84M

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

160.45M164.63M169.83M180.98M

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

-39.95M-23.73M-23.93M-17.28M
Cash flow

Operating cash flow

30.48M33.43M28.21M30.25M

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-22.05M-19.86M-14.84M-13.40M

Depreciation and amortisation

5.53M6.31M6.38M7.44M

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

8.43M13.57M13.37M16.85M