China Hongqiao Group Limited

1378.HK · Basic Materials · Aluminum · Valued as of 2026-11-03 · Statements 2025-12-31

How Each Value Is Built

The screener's three formulas on the reported figures. Each card reads the same way: the value as a sum of numbered terms, each term's calculation opened under it, from the reported figures to the value. The list ranks companies by their plain average over the market cap.

What it is worth

EPV + Growth

37.05B USD

what the normal year's earnings are worth for ever, plus growth that pays

Profit

46.22B USD

15 years of cash the shareholders can take out, and the equity left at year 15

FCFF

40.66B USD

15 years of cash for shareholders and lenders, less what is owed

Average Intrinsic Value

41.31B USD

The plain average of EPV, Profit and FCFF

Against the price

Market Cap

26.52B USD

the price on the date above times the shares

Intrinsic Value ÷ Market Cap

1.56×

the ratio the screener ranks by

Margin of Safety

+35.8%

1 − Market Cap / Average Intrinsic Value

Projections, not exact values. Intrinsic Values are projected from each company's past reports. They show which stocks look cheap compared with the others, not exactly what a stock is worth.

Earnings power value plus growth: 37.05B USD
What the normal year's operating profit after tax is worth if it lasts for ever, plus what the new investment adds beyond its cost, less the net debt that comes before the shareholders (or plus the net cash).
①EPV (earnings power value)38.91B USD
−②Net Debt Today1.93B USD
+③Growth Value66.65M USD
=Value37.05B USD

EPV of the Operations (NOPAT over WACC)

38.91B USD

Net debt today

-1.93B USD

Growth Value

+66.65M USD

Value

37.05B USD

①EPV (Earnings Power Value)

38.91B USD

②Net Debt Today

1.93B USD

③Growth Value

66.65M USD

Market value

Market Cap26.52B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety+28.4%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

Profit value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash it can pay them (FCFE): 46.22B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to equity (FCFE), each brought to today at the cost of equity, plus the equity at year 15 brought to today.
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE31.81B USD
+②Equity at Year 15, Today14.41B USD
=Value46.22B USD
FCFE: the net income left for the shareholders once the business keeps what next year's growth needsEquity reinvestment: the part of the year's net income kept in the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releases to the shareholdersPresent value of the FCFEColoured bars show the FCFE, grey bars the equity reinvestment. With a positive equity reinvestment the two stacked are the year's normalized income; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the normalized income is the FCFE plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth falling to its long-run rate and the ROE on new investment falling to the cost of equity. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFE

31.81B USD

②Equity at Year 15, Today

14.41B USD

Market value

Market Cap26.52B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety+42.6%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

FCFF value: today's value of the shareholders' equity, from the cash the firm can pay its shareholders and lenders (FCFF): 40.66B USD
Fifteen years of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), each brought to today at the WACC, plus the invested capital at year 15 brought to today, less the net debt today (or plus the net cash).
①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF31.20B USD
+②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today11.38B USD
−③Net Debt Today1.93B USD
=Value40.66B USD
FCFF: the NOPAT left for the shareholders and the lenders once the business reinvests what next year's growth needsReinvestment: the part of the year's NOPAT put back into the business to grow the next year; below zero, capital the business releasesPresent value of the FCFFColoured bars show the FCFF, grey bars the reinvestment. With a positive reinvestment the two stacked are the year's NOPAT; with a negative one the grey is below zero, capital the business releases, and the NOPAT is the FCFF plus that negative amount. Shaded, years 6 to 10: the growth falling to its long-run rate and the ROIC on new investment falling to the WACC. Axes linear.

①Present Value of the 15 Years of FCFF

31.20B USD

②Invested Capital at Year 15, Today

11.38B USD

③Net Debt Today

1.93B USD

Market value

Market Cap26.52B USD

The price on the date above times the shares.

Value vs market

Margin of Safety+34.8%

1 minus the market cap as a share of the value.

The Rates and the Capital the Values Read

The WACC and the cost of equity each value is discounted at, the book value and the net debt each starts from, and the seven quality metrics, from the same run.

WACC: 8.13%
Cost of Equity =Risk-Free Rate 4.50%+Beta 0.91×Market Risk Premium 6.00%= 9.94%

The yearly return the shareholders require for the risk they carry; it is the rate that brings their future cash to today.

Tax Rate for WACC =Tax Provision 1.27B USDPretax Income 4.73B USD= 26.91%

The tax the interest saves.

Interest Expense =EBIT 5,226.65M USD−Pretax Income 4,728.27M USD= 498.39M USD

The interest the company paid: EBIT is the profit before tax plus the interest.

Cost of Debt =Interest Expense 498.39M USDTotal Debt 10.38B USD×(1 − Tax Rate for WACC 26.91%)= 3.51%

What the lenders are paid a year after the tax the interest saves.

Debt Weight =Total Debt 10.38B USDMarket Cap + Total Debt 26.52B USD + 10.38B USD= 28.12%

The part of the capital the lenders put in, at market value.

WACC =Equity Weight 71.88%×Cost of Equity 9.94%+Debt Weight 28.12%×Cost of Debt 3.51%= 8.13%

Weighted average cost of capital: the yearly return the shareholders and the lenders together require, weighted by what each puts in; the rate that brings the firm's future cash to today.

Book value and net debt today
Both from the balance sheet of the newest quarter, 2025-12-31.

Total Assets 35.11B USD − Total Liabilities 14.83B USD = Book Value Today 20.28B USD

Total Debt 10.38B USD − Cash and Short-Term Investments 8.45B USD = Net Debt Today 1.93B USD

The book value is what Profit starts from and what stands when a projection is not made; the book value plus the net debt is what FCFF starts from; the net debt comes off Greenwald's and FCFF's values before the shareholders.

Quality metrics
Read beside the value, never a condition for it: every company is valued, and a filter in the list is the reader's choice.
MetricFrom
Share dilutionShares Today ÷ Shares Two Years Back − 14.8%at most 5%passes9,932,297,039 / 9,475,538,425
Accrual quality(Operating Cash Flow − Net Income) ÷ Total Assets6.7%at least -10.0%passes(5.58B USD − 3.24B USD) ÷ 35.11B USD
Price to bookMarket Cap ÷ Book Value Today1.31×at most 3×passes26.52B USD ÷ 20.28B USD
Operating marginOperating Income ÷ Revenue22.9%above 10.0%passes5.32B USD ÷ 23.23B USD
Revenue growthRevenue ÷ Revenue a Year Before − 18.4%above 10.0%does not pass23.23B USD / 21.42B USD
Net cash(Cash − Total Debt) ÷ Market Cap-11.5%above -30%passes(7.32B USD − 10.38B USD) ÷ 26.52B USD
Operating efficiencyOperating Income ÷ Gross Profit89.6%above 25.0%passes5.32B USD ÷ 5.94B USD

Market Data

The provider's ratios and the analysts' consensus beside the argument; none of them enters a value.

Share price

21.18 HKD

Enterprise value

231.01B HKD

the provider's own figure

EV / EBITDA

4.78×

Price / book

1.33×

the provider's book

Price / earnings

6.78×

Return on equity

22.9%

the provider's figure, not this page's

Profit margin

16.3%

Revenue growth

8.0%

Analyst target, mean

35.39 HKD

Analysts

15

opinions in the consensus

Financial Statements

The annual lines the screener holds, year by year, in USD at each period's rate; the figures this valuation read are in its calculation above.

Income statement (USD)2022202320242025

Revenue

18.93B18.82B21.42B23.23B

Gross profit

2.62B2.95B5.78B5.94B

Operating income

2.11B2.49B5.21B5.32B

EBITDA

operating income before depreciation and amortisation

3.25B3.71B5.86B6.23B

Pretax income

1.81B2.24B4.50B4.73B

Net income

1.25B1.61B3.07B3.24B

Normalized income

net income without one-off items, as the data provider prints it; Profit's line when printed

1.29B1.70B3.56B3.75B

R&D

————
Balance sheet, year end (USD)2022202320242025

Total assets

26.70B28.21B31.43B35.11B

Total liabilities

12.86B13.25B15.16B14.83B

Shareholders' equity

the equity the parent's shareholders own, as printed, without minority interest; the book value the values read is total assets less total liabilities, in Book Value and Net Debt above

12.15B12.99B14.79B18.97B

Total debt

8.59B9.00B9.85B10.38B

Cash and equivalents

3.94B4.47B6.14B7.32B

Net PP&E

fixed assets after depreciation

9.89B10.04B10.53B11.42B

Working capital

current assets less current liabilities

2.33B1.88B4.50B8.65B
Cash flow (USD)2022202320242025

Operating cash flow

1.10B3.16B4.66B5.58B

Capital expenditure

paid out, so below zero

-1.48B-1.02B-1.76B-1.60B

Depreciation and amortisation

999.27M1.01B900.86M1.01B

Free cash flow

operating cash flow plus capital expenditure

-382.28M2.13B2.90B3.98B